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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 25, 2019

Phillip Morris International (PM, $83.67) forays into life insurance, encouraging smokers to quit

Philip Morris International, the tobacco company that sells Marlboro cigarettes, is foraying into the life insurance business. The initiative, called ‘Reviti’, will initially sell life insurance in the UK before moving overseas. Smokers will receive discounts if they reduce, quit or switch to less carcinogenic products.

According to the terms of the insurance, smokers who switch to e-cigarettes will receive 2.5% discount on premiums, people who switch to Philip Morris’ heated tobacco product iQOS for three months will receive a 25% discount, and people who quit smoking for at least a year will receive a 50% discount. Premium for a 20-year-old non-smoker is about £5 ($6.47) per month for a life insurance policy of £150,000 ($194,125). The same premium would buy a £60,000 ($77,650) policy for a 40-year-old non-smoker.

It is up to PM to decide how much discount to offer to people using alternative products that are less life threatening. PM’s most popular alternative is iQOS, a device that heats tobacco instead of burning tobacco. Offering people bigger life insurance discounts for switching to iQOS may push more people to try it. This is particularly popular in UK where more people are embracing e-cigarettes, if not quitting altogether.

PMI is even optimistic that non-carcinogenic alternatives like e-cigarettes will one day replace cigarettes altogether and then it will be a win-win situation for everyone: it will reduce life risks for the people and for the company it will mean lower excise taxes and better margins. 

Related Ticker: PM

PM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on February 08, 2024

PM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 30 cases where PM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 23, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PM as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PM just turned positive on February 22, 2024. Looking at past instances where PM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where PM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PM moved below its 50-day moving average on February 05, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PM entered a downward trend on February 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PM's P/B Ratio (1318.699) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (60.743). P/E Ratio (17.990) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.903). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.587) is also within normal values, averaging (5.320). Dividend Yield (0.057) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.987) is also within normal values, averaging (41.009).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 18.01B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 160.39K to 139.46B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.46B. The lowest valued company is VHUB at 160.39K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. XXII experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while CBDW experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 118%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 51% and the average quarterly volume growth was 94%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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PMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of cigarettes and other tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
677 Washington Boulevard
Phone
+1 203 905-2410
Employees
87200
Web
https://www.pmi.com
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PM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PM has been loosely correlated with MO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PM jumps, then MO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PM
1D Price
Change %
PM100%
+0.53%
MO - PM
54%
Loosely correlated
-2.77%
BTI - PM
47%
Loosely correlated
-1.41%
UVV - PM
42%
Loosely correlated
-0.41%
VGR - PM
41%
Loosely correlated
+0.83%
TPB - PM
34%
Loosely correlated
-0.49%
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