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Nov 18, 2018
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Possible Double-Bottom Pattern for ArcelorMittal

Possible Double-Bottom Pattern for ArcelorMittal

Luxembourg-based steel manufacturer ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) has struggled in 2018 and the stock is down just over 23% on a year to date basis. While that isn’t terrible given how many stocks in the materials sector have struggled, but there could be something in the chart that is a good sign for Arcelor.

Looking at the daily chart, we see that the stock hit a low at $23.80 back on October 26. The stock bounced from there, but then slipped again over the last few weeks. However, the stock hit a low of $23.83 on November 13 and that could be a double-bottom pattern for the stock.

For the pattern to be completed, the stock will need to rise above the high between the two lows. In the case of Arcelor, it will need to move above $26.34. There is still resistance looming overhead at the $28 level, but that is 12.9% above yesterday’s closing price.

Arcelor’s fundamental measurements are all over the place. Earnings have grown by 271% per year over the last three years, but the most recent quarter showed an earnings decline of 25%.

The return on equity is 13.3%, the profit margin is 6.6%, and the operating margin is 9.7%. All of those figures are average to below average.

The fundamentals and the long-term technical picture might not allow the stock to jump too much, but the short-term technical picture suggests that we could see a decent bounce.

Related Ticker: MT

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


MT in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026

MT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 33 cases where MT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 36 of 48 cases where MT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MT just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where MT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +1.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MT advanced for three days, in 222 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MT as a result. In 46 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The 10-day moving average for MT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Aroon Indicator for MT entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.840) is normal, around the industry mean (2.191). P/E Ratio (25.714) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.415). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (0.339). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.080) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.890) is also within normal values, averaging (2.301).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE), ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF).

Industry description

The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Steel Industry is 10.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5K to 62.99B. NUE holds the highest valuation in this group at 62.99B. The lowest valued company is ADTC at 5K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. ASTL experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while SID experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 18% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of mines, manufactures and distributes carbon steel and stainless steel products

Industry Steel

Industry
Steel
Address
24-26, Boulevard d’Avranches
Phone
+352 47921
Employees
125554
Web
http://www.arcelormittal.com
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