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Nov 18, 2018
Possible Double-Bottom Pattern for ArcelorMittal

Possible Double-Bottom Pattern for ArcelorMittal

Luxembourg-based steel manufacturer ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) has struggled in 2018 and the stock is down just over 23% on a year to date basis. While that isn’t terrible given how many stocks in the materials sector have struggled, but there could be something in the chart that is a good sign for Arcelor.

Looking at the daily chart, we see that the stock hit a low at $23.80 back on October 26. The stock bounced from there, but then slipped again over the last few weeks. However, the stock hit a low of $23.83 on November 13 and that could be a double-bottom pattern for the stock.

For the pattern to be completed, the stock will need to rise above the high between the two lows. In the case of Arcelor, it will need to move above $26.34. There is still resistance looming overhead at the $28 level, but that is 12.9% above yesterday’s closing price.

Arcelor’s fundamental measurements are all over the place. Earnings have grown by 271% per year over the last three years, but the most recent quarter showed an earnings decline of 25%.

The return on equity is 13.3%, the profit margin is 6.6%, and the operating margin is 9.7%. All of those figures are average to below average.

The fundamentals and the long-term technical picture might not allow the stock to jump too much, but the short-term technical picture suggests that we could see a decent bounce.

Related Ticker: MT

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


MT in +4.81% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on September 04, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where MT advanced for three days, in 224 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 180 of 279 cases where MT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MT moved out of overbought territory on September 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 60 cases where MT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MT as a result. In 51 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MT turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

MT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.023) is normal, around the industry mean (2.331). P/E Ratio (31.307) is within average values for comparable stocks, (94.520). MT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.417). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.906) is also within normal values, averaging (2.318).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE), ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF).

Industry description

The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Steel Industry is 10.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.16K to 58.86B. NUE holds the highest valuation in this group at 58.86B. The lowest valued company is ADTC at 39.16K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. SID experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while HLP experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was 60%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -39%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 29
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of mines, manufactures and distributes carbon steel and stainless steel products

Industry Steel

Profile
Details
Industry
Steel
Address
24-26, Boulevard d’Avranches
Phone
+352 47921
Employees
125554
Web
http://www.arcelormittal.com
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