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published in Blogs
Nov 21, 2019
Possible head and shoulders pattern forming on Laureate Education

Possible head and shoulders pattern forming on Laureate Education

Laureate Education (Nasdaq: LAUR) is a for-profit education company with a focus on countries outside the United States. The company operates through five segments—Brazil, Mexico, Andean, Rest of World, and Online & Partnerships. The company is headquartered domestically in Baltimore, but focuses on building its education business outside the U.S.

The company hasn't been performing very well lately both in terms of fundamental and price performance. The company lost money in the third quarter when it was supposed to make money and that was with EPS growth of 28%. Analysts expect the company to make money again in the fourth quarter, but lose money again in the first quarter.

Sales have declined by an average of 8% per year over the last three years and they were down by 1% in the third quarter.

Because the company has been losing money, the return on equity is -0.24%. The profit margin is at 3.8% and both of these figures are well below average.

When we add up the declining sales and the below average management efficiency measurements, we get a poor SMR rating from Tickeron. Laureate's rating is a 94 and that indicates weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The best score a company can get is 1 and the worst score is 100.

As low as the SMR rating is, the Profit vs. Risk Rating is even worse at 100. This indicates that the returns do not compensate for the risks. Laureate’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

The one area where Laureate ranks above average is the PE Growth Rating. The company scores a 5 on this rating scale and that indicates outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 indicates highest PE growth while a rating of 100 indicates lowest PE growth.

Looking at the daily chart for Laureate, it looks like the stock could be forming a head and shoulders pattern. The left shoulder was formed at the $17 level in June, the left side of the neck was formed at $15 in late June, and the head comes from the $18.50 high in September. The right side of the neck is down near the $15 area in October, and now the right shoulder could be forming at $17. If this is accurate, the stock will drop back down to $15 and then break lower.

Turning our attention to the sentiment toward Laureate, it doesn't have a great deal of analysts following it. There are only eight analysts covering the stock with seven "buy" ratings and one "hold" rating. This puts the buy percentage at 87.5% which is higher than the average stock. Of course it loses some of its importance because there is so little coverage.

The short interest ratio is higher than average at 4.62. The ratio had been holding in the 1.0 to 2.0 range for several months, but it jumped from 1.61 to 2.64 to 4.62 in the last three reporting periods. The jump has been caused by an increase in the number of shares sold short and a decline in the average daily trading volume.

Related Ticker: EDUC

EDUC's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EDUC turned positive on June 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where EDUC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EDUC as a result. In of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EDUC moved above its 50-day moving average on June 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EDUC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EDUC advanced for three days, in of 188 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

EDUC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.316) is normal, around the industry mean (6.175). EDUC has a moderately low P/E Ratio (5.889) as compared to the industry average of (21.868). EDUC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.776). EDUC's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (0.594) is also within normal values, averaging (1.477).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EDUC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EDUC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Industry description

The newspaper publishing industry includes companies that publish and market news journals and daily/weekly newspapers. News Corporation, New York Times Company, and Gannett Co., Inc. are some of the largest newspaper publishers. Commercial ad revenue helps to cover plant and equipment costs and general and administrative expense. The popularity and distribution network of newspaper publishers could affect the fees they can charge on advertisements. In recent decades, with digital content grabbing advertising dollars, long-standing publishing companies have increasingly diversified into creating their own web-based content to stay in business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Publishing: Newspapers Industry is 3.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 11.31K to 13.62B. IFPJF holds the highest valuation in this group at 13.62B. The lowest valued company is XLMDF at 11.31K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Newspapers Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. LEE experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while TDAY experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Newspapers Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a publisher of children's books and educational books

Industry PublishingNewspapers

Profile
Details
Industry
Publishing Books Or Magazines
Address
5402 South 122nd East Avenue
Phone
+1 918 622-4522
Employees
83
Web
https://www.edcpub.com
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