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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 30, 2019

Possible inverse head & shoulders pattern on BB&T

Regional banks have gotten hit pretty hard after the latest Fed meeting. With the Fed announcing plans to keep the Fed Funds rate at the current level for the foreseeable future, it hampered banks to a degree.

When interest rates are rising, the spread grows between what banks charge on loans and what they pay on deposits. This helps banks and their profitability. With the Fed becoming more dovish, the spread is likely to remain stable or possibly even decrease for the rest of the year.

The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (NYSE: KRE) has been lagging the overall market since the January Fed meeting. At that meeting, the Fed used more dovish terms to describe the rate policy. The announcement after the March meeting left little doubt about the path the Fed intended to take going forward. After that meeting, the KRE fell over 11% in three days.

One regional bank that caught my eye was BB&T (NYSE: BBT). The weekly chart shows a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. The stock dipped down to the $44.50 level back in the fall and then rallied up to the $52 area. This formed the left shoulder and neckline. The stock then fell to almost $4o to form the head. The stock rallied back to the $52 area to form the right side of the neck and has now fallen back down to the $44.50 area to form the right shoulder.

For the formation to be completed, the stock would need to rally back to the $52 level and breakout from there.

From a fundamental perspective, BB&T has decent measurements. The earnings have grown at a rate of 12% per year over the last three years and grew by 25% in the most recent quarter. Sales have grown by 7% per year over the last three years and they grew by 8% in the last quarter.

The profit margin is well above average at 32.4% while the ROE is average at 11.2%.

Related Ticker: BBT

BBT sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On October 07, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for BBT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 51 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BBT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BBT as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BBT just turned positive on September 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where BBT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BBT advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

BBT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 19, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BBT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BBT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BBT entered a downward trend on October 09, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.633) is normal, around the industry mean (1.116). P/E Ratio (11.603) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.443). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.802). Dividend Yield (0.053) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.488) is also within normal values, averaging (5.116).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BBT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BBT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 7.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 169.1B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 169.1B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. MZTFF experienced the highest price growth at 97%, while SHFS experienced the biggest fall at -46%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was 3%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 43
Profit Risk Rating: 52
Seasonality Score: 30 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. BBT showed earnings on July 24, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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