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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 30, 2019
Possible inverse head & shoulders pattern on BB&T

Possible inverse head & shoulders pattern on BB&T

Regional banks have gotten hit pretty hard after the latest Fed meeting. With the Fed announcing plans to keep the Fed Funds rate at the current level for the foreseeable future, it hampered banks to a degree.

When interest rates are rising, the spread grows between what banks charge on loans and what they pay on deposits. This helps banks and their profitability. With the Fed becoming more dovish, the spread is likely to remain stable or possibly even decrease for the rest of the year.

The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (NYSE: KRE) has been lagging the overall market since the January Fed meeting. At that meeting, the Fed used more dovish terms to describe the rate policy. The announcement after the March meeting left little doubt about the path the Fed intended to take going forward. After that meeting, the KRE fell over 11% in three days.

One regional bank that caught my eye was BB&T (NYSE: BBT). The weekly chart shows a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. The stock dipped down to the $44.50 level back in the fall and then rallied up to the $52 area. This formed the left shoulder and neckline. The stock then fell to almost $4o to form the head. The stock rallied back to the $52 area to form the right side of the neck and has now fallen back down to the $44.50 area to form the right shoulder.

For the formation to be completed, the stock would need to rally back to the $52 level and breakout from there.

From a fundamental perspective, BB&T has decent measurements. The earnings have grown at a rate of 12% per year over the last three years and grew by 25% in the most recent quarter. Sales have grown by 7% per year over the last three years and they grew by 8% in the last quarter.

The profit margin is well above average at 32.4% while the ROE is average at 11.2%.

Related Ticker: BBT

BBT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on March 06, 2026

BBT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where BBT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BBT advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 162 cases where BBT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BBT moved out of overbought territory on February 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BBT as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BBT turned negative on February 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BBT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BBT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.995) is normal, around the industry mean (1.179). P/E Ratio (28.757) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.275). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.699) is also within normal values, averaging (5.878).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BBT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 9.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 148.58B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 148.58B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. PCLB experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while CAIB experienced the biggest fall at -61%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 110%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 42
Profit Risk Rating: 56
Seasonality Score: -42 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. BBT showed earnings on January 28, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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