GET DAILY SIGNALSPowell wants asset tapering to begin this year
On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that he was one of the majority of Fed officials who believe the central bank can taper bond purchases this year.
In his Jackson Hole speech, Powell revealed that at the FOMC’s July meeting, he, along with most of the participants, opined that if the economy evolved broadly as anticipated, it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year.
Powell said that the Fed's "substantial further progress" test on inflation had been met, adding "clear progress" had been made on a return to maximum employment.
The Fed is currently buying $80 billion of Treasurys and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month.
Powell did not mention when the Fed might formally announce the taper. Officials are divided about whether to announce it at their meeting on Sept. 20-21 or wait until November. The Fed chairman also didn’t specify the pace of the tapering.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
GOVT's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +0.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in 126 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 104 of 213 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 39%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 60 cases where GOVT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOVT as a result. In 46 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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