Procter & Gamble (PG, $142.62) posts fall in quarterly earnings amid slump in sales volume
Procter & Gamble Co. posted lower quarterly profit, amidst higher prices dampening sales volumes. It is among the first consumer product behemoths to report December quarter results.
For the three months ended Dec. 31, the company reported net income of $3.9 billion, or $1.59 per share, excluding items, lower than $4.22 billion, or $1.66 per share, a year earlier. The EPS were in line with analysts’ expectations (based on Refinitiv data).
Net sales fell -1% year-over-year to $20.77 billion, exceeding analysts' forecast of $20.73 billion.
P&G’s sales volumes decreased -6% in the three months ended Dec. 31 —the biggest quarterly drop in years. Each of the company’s five major business units underwent lower sales volume compared with a year earlier. P&G increased prices by +10% in the period, leading to a +5% growth in organic sales (which exclude currency fluctuations and acquisitions).
The company’s quarterly results were in line with consensus forecasts, according to estimates compiled by FactSet.
The Wall Street Journal reported that P&G finance chief Andre Schulten said that the company had anticipated the volume decreases and attributed half of the decline to a combination of P&G ending sales of all but essential items in Russia and retailer inventory reductions in the U.S., Europe and in China.
P&G projects growth in the consumer-products market will continue but slow to 3% to 4% growth, from a 5% to 6% range. Pricing is expected to continue to drive growth, while volumes are anticipated to decrease further, according to the company.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
PG in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026
PG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 41 cases where PG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 23 of 48 cases where PG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PG as a result. In 34 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
PG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
Following a +2.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PG advanced for three days, in 153 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PG turned negative on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 49%.
The 50-day moving average for PG moved below the 200-day moving average on September 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.489) is normal, around the industry mean (18.044). P/E Ratio (22.512) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.673). PG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.813) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.092) is also within normal values, averaging (1.931).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
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General Information
a provider of branded consumer packaged goods
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare
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