Profit with Downtrend Protection: Earn 10.51% Swing Trading COIN
Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) Generates 10.51% for COIN
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a period of downturn, COIN appears to be gathering momentum and moving towards a bullish trend. It has shown a series of promising signs, which indicate strong possibilities of an upward surge.
One of the key positive signals is the Movement of the Momentum Indicator above the 0 level on June 21, 2023. Historically, in 31 of 37 instances, such a shift has led to an escalation in the stock's value. Consequently, this could potentially be an opportune moment to adopt a long position or call options on COIN.
Further evidence pointing to the uptrend is the recent activity of COIN's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which turned positive on June 20, 2023. When COIN's MACD displayed a similar pattern in the past, the stock's value continued to appreciate in 14 out of 17 instances.
Another bullish trend indicator is COIN's recent ascent above its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2023. This crossover represents a shift from a downward to an upward trend.
Adding to these indicators, the 10-day moving average for COIN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 27, 2023. This intersection signals a potential buy opportunity, as it often precedes a continued uptrend in the stock's value, as observed in 7 of 8 past instances.
In the longer term, the 50-day moving average for COIN rose above the 200-day moving average on June 30, 2023, a sign that investors could be optimistic about a longer period of growth for the stock.
Building on this momentum, COIN registered a robust 3-day advance of +13.25%. Historical data from scenarios in which COIN advanced for three consecutive days show that in 92 of 113 cases, the price increased further within the following month.
Finally, the Aroon Indicator for COIN has recently signaled an uptrend. In the past, in 29 out of 39 instances, a similar uptrend signal from the Aroon Indicator correlated with a continued price surge over the next month.
These combined signals create a compelling case for a bullish outlook on COIN. As a swing trader, the 10.51% gain generated by the Downtrend Protection (TA) offers a valuable opportunity to capitalize on the forecasted uptrend.
Momentum Indicator for COIN turns negative, indicating new downward trend
COIN saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 20, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COIN turned negative on September 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 19 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
COIN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 30, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COIN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 21, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COIN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for COIN entered a downward trend on August 30, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where COIN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COIN advanced for three days, in of 126 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
COIN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COIN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.160) is normal, around the industry mean (4.733). P/E Ratio (7.981) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.038). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.531) is also within normal values, averaging (2.370). COIN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (6.510) is also within normal values, averaging (129.965).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COIN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COIN has been closely correlated with AFRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COIN jumps, then AFRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COIN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COIN | 100% | -2.93% | ||
| AFRM - COIN | 81% Closely correlated | -8.05% | ||
| MSTR - COIN | 81% Closely correlated | -2.22% | ||
| U - COIN | 74% Closely correlated | -4.77% | ||
| SQ - COIN | 72% Closely correlated | -4.10% | ||
| CFLT - COIN | 71% Closely correlated | -4.98% | ||
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