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Sep 12, 2023

Profits Skyrocket: Trader Robot Nets +15.56% for $ROKU Last Week

"Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)," recently caught our attention with a remarkable performance, delivering a substantial +15.56% gain while trading ROKU over the previous week. In this article, we delve into the bot's impressive performance, dissect the latest market indicators, and explore insights from the Movies/Entertainment Industry.

Aroon Indicator Signals Potential Bullish Momentum for ROKU

One key indicator that has traders buzzing is the Aroon Indicator for ROKU, which flashed a bullish signal on August 10, 2023. According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, this signal is triggered when the AroonUp green line rises above 70 while the AroonDown red line remains below 30. Such a configuration suggests that the stock may be gearing up for a bullish move, presenting traders with an opportunity to either buy the stock or consider call options.

To provide context, we turn to historical data where A.I.dvisor examined 228 similar instances of this Aroon Indicator pattern. In a noteworthy 201 out of these 228 cases, the stock indeed moved higher in the days following the signal. This historical performance points to an 88% probability of a move higher in ROKU's future, making it an enticing prospect for traders seeking to capitalize on potential bullish momentum.

Earnings Report and Market Capitalization

To understand the fundamentals behind ROKU's recent performance, we examine its earnings report. The last earnings report, released on July 27, 2023, revealed earnings per share of -75 cents, surpassing the estimated -126 cents. This positive earnings surprise is a critical factor that could contribute to ROKU's recent gains. Currently, ROKU has 3.83 million shares outstanding, resulting in a market capitalization of 11.81 billion dollars.

To gauge ROKU's market position further, we compare its market capitalization to the average across the Movies/Entertainment Industry, which stands at 6.98 billion dollars. Within this sector, market caps span from 134 million dollars (LRDG) to an impressive 196.23 billion dollars (NFLX). NFLX reigns supreme as the highest-valued company in the group, showcasing the diversity in market capitalization within the Movies/Entertainment Industry.

High and Low Price Movements in the Industry

Shifting our focus to price movements within the Movies/Entertainment Industry, it's essential to grasp the industry's dynamics. On average, weekly price growth across all stocks in this sector amounted to a positive 2%, indicating overall bullish sentiment. However, over the course of a month, the average price growth dipped to -3%, while the quarterly average plummeted to -10%, hinting at more extended periods of volatility.

Within this context, individual companies exhibited varying degrees of price fluctuations. MOCI stood out with an astounding 276% price growth, while AMXX experienced the most significant decline at -74%. These extreme price swings reflect the industry's inherent unpredictability and present both opportunities and risks for traders.

Volume Trends in the Movies/Entertainment Industry

Lastly, we examine volume trends in the Movies/Entertainment Industry. Weekly volume growth across all stocks in this sector saw an average decline of -19%, indicating reduced trading activity. However, over the course of a month, the average volume growth surged by 116%, with a similar trend observed over a quarter, where the average volume growth reached 100%.

These volume statistics illustrate the ebb and flow of investor interest in the Movies/Entertainment Industry. The sharp uptick in monthly and quarterly volume growth suggests that periods of heightened activity may coincide with increased market volatility.

In summary, the performance of the "Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" bot serves as a compelling example of AI-powered trading in action. The bullish signal from the Aroon Indicator and ROKU's positive earnings surprise have contributed to its recent gains. However, it's crucial to keep in mind the broader industry dynamics, as reflected in price and volume trends, which can significantly impact trading strategies and outcomes. As the market continues to evolve, traders must remain adaptable and informed to navigate the ever-changing landscape successfully.

Related Ticker: ROKU

ROKU sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for ROKU moved above the 200-day moving average on October 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROKU advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ROKU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 184 cases where ROKU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ROKU moved out of overbought territory on October 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ROKU as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ROKU turned negative on September 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROKU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROKU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.962) is normal, around the industry mean (5.952). P/E Ratio (66.667) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.982). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.609) is also within normal values, averaging (30.667).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ROKU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (null:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (null:DIS), Roku (null:ROKU), Paramount Global (null:PARA), iQIYI (null:IQ), HUYA (null:HUYA), AMC Entertainment Holdings (null:AMC).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 9.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 262.83B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 262.83B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. NRCD experienced the highest price growth at 4,346%, while UMGP experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 0%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -34% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of applications for digital media

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