PVH(PVH, $82.66) posts Q4 earnings
Clothing company PVH Corp reported its fourth quarter earnings, that experienced a rebound from the year-ago quarter's losses.
PVH Corp.’s fourth quarter earnings on a GAAP basis were $5.53 dollars per share for the fourth quarter compared to a loss per share of -81 cents in the year-ago quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, earnings were $2.84 per share compared to a loss per share of -38 cents in the prior year period.
Fourth quarter revenue at PVH Corp. increased +16% from the year-ago quarter (or +20% on a constant currency basis) to $2.430 billion.
The company’s revenue in its Tommy Hilfiger business increased +18% year-over-year (or +23% on a constant currency basis). That includes a +20% increase (or 26% on a constant currency basis) in Tommy Hilfiger international revenue, and a +14% increase in Tommy Hilfiger North America revenue.
Calvin Klein business revenue saw a +27% year-over-year increase (or a +30% increase on a constant currency basis), which includes + 24% (or +30% increase on a constant currency basis) in Calvin Klein international revenue and a +32% increase in Calvin Klein North America revenue.
However, the company’s Heritage Brands business experienced a -33% decrease in the compared to the prior year period, which included a -51% year-over-year decrease resulting from the Heritage Brands transaction and the exit from the Heritage Brands retail business.
For the full-year 2021, PVH revenue increased +28% (or +26% in constant currency) to $9.15 billion dollars compared to 2020. Earnings per share on a GAAP basis were $13.25 for 2021 compared to a loss per share of -$15.96 in 2020. Earnings per share on a non-GAAP basis were $10.15 a share compared to a loss per share of -$1.97 dollars in 2020.
Looking ahead, the company projects 2022 revenue to increase +2% to +3% (or increase +6% to +7 % on a constant currency basis as compared to 2021.
It is expecting 2022 operating margin to be approximately 10 percent, and earnings per share will be approximately $9 compared to $13.25 on a GAAP basis and $10.15 on a non-GAAP basis in 2021.
The company forecasts that first quarter 2022 earnings per share will be in a range of $1.55 to $1.60 compared to $1.38 dollars on a GAAP basis and 1.92 dollars on a non-GAAP basis in the prior year period. Revenue in the first quarter of 2022 is expected to be relatively flat and increase approximately +4% on a constant currency basis.
PVH in -9.74% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on June 02, 2023
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where PVH declined for three days, in of 333 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 01, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PVH as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PVH turned negative on June 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
PVH moved below its 50-day moving average on June 01, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The Aroon Indicator for PVH entered a downward trend on May 19, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PVH advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PVH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PVH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.951) is normal, around the industry mean (3.001). P/E Ratio (24.038) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.244). PVH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.436) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.794). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.556) is also within normal values, averaging (1.686).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PVH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of men's, women's, and children's apparel and footwear
Industry ApparelFootwear
PVH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PVH has been closely correlated with RL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PVH jumps, then RL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PVH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PVH | 100% | -0.23% | ||
| RL - PVH | 76% Closely correlated | +6.12% | ||
| COLM - PVH | 70% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| UA - PVH | 67% Closely correlated | +6.11% | ||
| UAA - PVH | 67% Closely correlated | +6.81% | ||
| LEVI - PVH | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.45% | ||
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