Clothing company PVH Corp reported its fourth quarter earnings, that experienced a rebound from the year-ago quarter's losses.
PVH Corp.’s fourth quarter earnings on a GAAP basis were $5.53 dollars per share for the fourth quarter compared to a loss per share of -81 cents in the year-ago quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, earnings were $2.84 per share compared to a loss per share of -38 cents in the prior year period.
Fourth quarter revenue at PVH Corp. increased +16% from the year-ago quarter (or +20% on a constant currency basis) to $2.430 billion.
The company’s revenue in its Tommy Hilfiger business increased +18% year-over-year (or +23% on a constant currency basis). That includes a +20% increase (or 26% on a constant currency basis) in Tommy Hilfiger international revenue, and a +14% increase in Tommy Hilfiger North America revenue.
Calvin Klein business revenue saw a +27% year-over-year increase (or a +30% increase on a constant currency basis), which includes + 24% (or +30% increase on a constant currency basis) in Calvin Klein international revenue and a +32% increase in Calvin Klein North America revenue.
However, the company’s Heritage Brands business experienced a -33% decrease in the compared to the prior year period, which included a -51% year-over-year decrease resulting from the Heritage Brands transaction and the exit from the Heritage Brands retail business.
For the full-year 2021, PVH revenue increased +28% (or +26% in constant currency) to $9.15 billion dollars compared to 2020. Earnings per share on a GAAP basis were $13.25 for 2021 compared to a loss per share of -$15.96 in 2020. Earnings per share on a non-GAAP basis were $10.15 a share compared to a loss per share of -$1.97 dollars in 2020.
Looking ahead, the company projects 2022 revenue to increase +2% to +3% (or increase +6% to +7 % on a constant currency basis as compared to 2021.
It is expecting 2022 operating margin to be approximately 10 percent, and earnings per share will be approximately $9 compared to $13.25 on a GAAP basis and $10.15 on a non-GAAP basis in 2021.
The company forecasts that first quarter 2022 earnings per share will be in a range of $1.55 to $1.60 compared to $1.38 dollars on a GAAP basis and 1.92 dollars on a non-GAAP basis in the prior year period. Revenue in the first quarter of 2022 is expected to be relatively flat and increase approximately +4% on a constant currency basis.
The RSI Oscillator for PVH moved out of oversold territory on April 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PVH as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PVH just turned positive on April 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where PVH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PVH advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
PVH moved below its 50-day moving average on April 02, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PVH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 04, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PVH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PVH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PVH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.649) is normal, around the industry mean (3.484). P/E Ratio (16.635) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.646). PVH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.265) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.937). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.950) is also within normal values, averaging (1.925).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PVH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of men's, women's, and children's apparel and footwear
Industry ApparelFootwear