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published in Blogs
Jan 17, 2023

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM, $7.47) posts prelim Q4 results

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. announced preliminary results for the fourth-quarter.

The chemical company estimates income from continuing operations of -$1 million to $3 million, compared with a loss of $28 million in the year-ago quarter. For the full-year, it expects to incur a loss from continuing operations of -$28 million to -$32 million, versus a loss of $50 million in 2021.

Fourth-quarter revenue is expected to be in the range of $488 million to $508 million, vs. last year's $374 million. For the full-year, Rayonair estimates revenue of $1.705 billion to $1.725 billion, higher than $1.408 billion of in the prior year.

Related Ticker: RYAM

RYAM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

RYAM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 10, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for RYAM moved out of overbought territory on June 20, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where RYAM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RYAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RYAM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 24, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RYAM as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for RYAM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RYAM advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 214 cases where RYAM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 82%.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RYAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.410) is normal, around the industry mean (3.515). P/E Ratio (23.474) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.885). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.035). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.185) is also within normal values, averaging (93.174).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RYAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Dow (NYSE:DOW), DuPont de Nemours (NYSE:DD), Chemours Company (The) (NYSE:CC).

Industry description

The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Specialty Industry is 8.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 47 to 223.16B. LIN holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.16B. The lowest valued company is GTBT at 47.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Specialty Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. DTPKF experienced the highest price growth at 35%, while CRKN experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Specialty Industry was 66%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -45% and the average quarterly volume growth was 393%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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RYAMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

a company which engages in the production of fibers and specialty chemicals

Industry ChemicalsSpecialty

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Chemicals Specialty
Address
1301 Riverplace Boulevard
Phone
+1 904 357-4600
Employees
2800
Web
https://www.rayonieram.com
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