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Jul 06, 2023

Reliable Automation: Trader Robot Boosts PBR's Returns to +6.34% Last Week

The use of AI trading robots has gained traction among investors, promising improved efficiency and potentially higher returns. In the case of Swing Trader's Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA) bot, the previous week's performance revealed a notable gain of +6.34% while trading PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.). However, the recent earnings report and technical indicators call for a closer analysis of the stock's prospects.

Technical Analysis:

One significant technical indicator to consider is the 10-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oscillator, which provides insights into a stock's overbought or oversold conditions. On June 27, 2023, the 10-day RSI for PBR moved out of overbought territory, indicating a potential shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may interpret this as a signal to sell the stock or consider buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor examined 43 instances where the RSI moved out of the overbought zone, and in 34 of those cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. These statistics suggest a considerable 79% likelihood of a downward move.

Earnings Report Analysis:

It is essential to analyze the fundamental aspects of a stock to gauge its long-term viability. The most recent earnings report for PBR was released on May 11, which revealed earnings per share (EPS) of 56 cents, falling short of the estimated 90 cents. This discrepancy may raise concerns among investors as it indicates a potential underperformance of the company relative to expectations. With 9.45 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization stands at approximately $85.95 billion.

Summary:

While Swing Trader's AI trading robots demonstrated an impressive gain of +6.34% during their trades on PBR, caution should be exercised in light of the recent earnings report and technical indicators. The shift from overbought to potentially oversold conditions, as indicated by the 10-day RSI Oscillator, suggests a higher probability of a downward move. Additionally, the disappointing earnings per share figures compared to estimates highlight a potential mismatch between market expectations and the company's performance.

Related Ticker: PBR

PBR's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for PBR moved out of oversold territory on March 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 14, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PBR as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PBR just turned positive on March 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where PBR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PBR moved above its 50-day moving average on March 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PBR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PBR advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PBR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PBR entered a downward trend on March 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.297) is normal, around the industry mean (1.194). P/E Ratio (3.990) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.836) is also within normal values, averaging (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.193) settles around the average of (0.111) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.971) is also within normal values, averaging (0.975).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PBR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 63.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 461.22B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 461.22B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. POGS experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while WDGJF experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was 15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 52
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a company which engages in exploration, refining and processing of oil and natural gas

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
Avenida Republica do Chile, 65
Phone
+55 2132242401
Employees
38682
Web
https://www.petrobras.com.br
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