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published in Blogs
Jan 27, 2021

Retail Investor Activity Goes Parabolic - Is Trouble Ahead?

Retail investors are jumping into the markets in record numbers. Less certain is whether a majority of these new retail investors have the tools and the experience needed to do well over time. Tickeron's platform of Artificial Intelligence-generated can help.

According to Piper Sandler analysts, retail trading volume that goes through wholesale market makers accounted for nearly half of all trading in the first 11 days in January. For some wealth managers and trading platforms, this has been welcome news. Morgan Stanley just completed its takeover of E*Trade, reporting 900,000 new self-directed accounts over the last two quarters. Charles Schwab, which is now combined with TD Ameritrade, has seen daily trading volumes of close to 8 million trades, which is well higher than volume last year. Schwab has also reported a 16% uptick in average margin loan balances over the past two quarters, suggesting that investors are growing more comfortable with risk-taking. 

It's good to see that new investors are showing interest in trading and investing, but more concerning to me is whether investors are taking on too much risk and making trades without having strong fundamental and technical research to back those trades. In my view, it won't take long for many investors to lose money - that's what the market almost always does to blind risk-takers.

Tickeron has several Artificial-Intelligence driven platforms, and if you're new to retail trading and investing, it could be helpful to have A.I. help you drive your investment-decision making. Below, Tickeron's A.I. analyzes major banks that could benefit from the wave of retail investor interest.

Related Ticker: XLF

Momentum Indicator for XLF turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XLF saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF just turned positive on February 16, 2024. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 332 cases where XLF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLF moved out of overbought territory on March 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 51 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), Citigroup (NYSE:C).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Financial Select Sector Index. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Financial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: financial services; insurance; banks; capital markets; mortgage real estate investment trusts; and consumer finance. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF is 69.57B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.74B to 632.33B. BRK.B holds the highest valuation in this group at 632.33B. The lowest valued company is ZION at 5.74B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was -0%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. FIS experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while CBOE experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 11%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -32% and the average quarterly volume growth was 13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 69
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 36
SMR Rating: 47
Profit Risk Rating: 42
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
XLFDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category Financial

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Financial
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
Interesting Tickers
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ETFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
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Strive FAANG 2.0 ETF
BUFQ28.140.13
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FT Cboe Vest Fund of Nsdq-100 Bffr ETFs
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XLF and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLF has been closely correlated with FNCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLF jumps, then FNCL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLF
1D Price
Change %
XLF100%
-0.12%
FNCL - XLF
99%
Closely correlated
-0.02%
VFH - XLF
99%
Closely correlated
-0.02%
IYF - XLF
99%
Closely correlated
-0.23%
IYG - XLF
98%
Closely correlated
-0.18%
FXO - XLF
91%
Closely correlated
-0.25%
More
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