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Aug 07, 2023

Riding the Tide: A Look at $DAC, $GASS, $NAT, $PANL, $SBLK Stocks' +8.38% Gains in Seaborne Shipping

The seaborne shipping industry generated +8.38% 1-month change

Tickers in theme Seaborne shipping - $CPLP$DAC$GASS$NAT$PANL$SBLK$TNK, $ASC

Robot Trend Trader, Long Only ($6.5K per position): Valuation & Seasonality Model (TA&FA) with $SBLK$CPLP$PANL

The seaborne shipping industry encompasses companies that provide transportation services by sea, and it also includes those involved in manufacturing military systems for maritime applications. In this article, we will delve into the market cap variations, notable price movements, and volume trends within the 'seaborne' theme, focusing on specific tickers that exemplify the industry's dynamics.

Market Cap Variation

The seaborne theme comprises a diverse group of companies, with the average market capitalization standing at 731.4M. This indicates a mix of both established and smaller players in the market. Among the companies in this theme, the market caps of individual tickers range from 43.1M to 1.9B.

Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) holds the highest market valuation at 1.9B, demonstrating its prominence and sizable presence in the industry. On the other end of the spectrum, Navios Maritime Holdings (NM) is the lowest valued company with a market cap of 43.1M.

Notable Price Movements

The seaborne shipping theme has experienced varying price movements over different timeframes. On average, across all stocks within the theme, the weekly price growth was 1.67%, reflecting a moderate upward trend. Over a monthly period, the average price growth was a more substantial 9.52%, indicating a positive performance over the short term. Zooming out to the quarterly timeframe, the average price growth reached an impressive 23.15%, highlighting the potential for strong gains over a more extended period.

StealthGas Inc. (GASS) emerged as the top performer with the highest price growth at 8.75%. This robust performance reflects positive sentiment towards the company's operations and prospects.

However, Danaos Corporation (DAC) experienced a decline in its stock price, with the biggest fall at -4.3%. This setback might warrant further investigation into the company's recent developments and market conditions affecting its performance.

Volume Trends

Analyzing the volume trends within the seaborne theme reveals interesting patterns. On average, across all stocks, the weekly volume growth was 19.56%, indicating a healthy level of investor interest and activity. However, the monthly volume growth experienced a decline of -32.68%, suggesting a potential decrease in investor engagement and interest over a more extended period.

On a brighter note, the quarterly volume growth surged by 41.75%, indicating renewed investor interest and growing momentum for seaborne shipping companies.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

Fundamental analysis ratings offer insights into various aspects of the seaborne shipping theme. The valuation rating of 30 suggests that, on average, companies within this category are reasonably priced compared to their underlying fundamentals.

The P/E growth rating of 56 implies that the companies' earnings growth potential is perceived to be moderate, with room for improvement.

Price growth rating at 42 indicates that the stock prices of companies within this theme are subject to moderate fluctuations, presenting potential opportunities for investors.

The SMR rating of 42 suggests that companies in the seaborne theme have shown a mix of sales, margin, and return performance, without significant outliers in any direction.

Profit risk rating of 41 highlights a moderate level of risk associated with the profitability of companies within this theme, which investors should consider when making investment decisions.

The seasonality score of 4 indicates that seasonal patterns might not significantly influence the performance of the seaborne shipping companies, making the theme attractive for long-term investors.

Technical indicators play a crucial role in analyzing stock price movements and identifying potential trends. In this article, we focus on two stocks, namely GASS and SBLK, and explore the bullish signals generated by the Aroon Indicator and the MACD Histogram, respectively.

  1. GASS - Aroon Indicator Signals Potential Upside On August 04, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for GASS triggered a bullish signal. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor observed that the AroonUp green line surged above 70, while the AroonDown red line remained below 30. This specific configuration indicates a potential bullish move for the stock. Historically, in 83% of 131 similar instances, the stock price moved higher following such Aroon Indicator patterns. As of the mentioned date, GASS's stock was trading at $5.17, having crossed the support line at $4.19, and was fluctuating between resistance at $5.68 and support at $4.19. Notably, the stock experienced a noteworthy +20% uptrend during the period from 07/05/23 to 08/04/23, with a +9% uptrend growth observed during the week from 07/28/23 to 08/04/23.

  2. SBLK - MACD Histogram Indicates Positive Momentum On July 25, 2023, SBLK's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned positive, signaling potential bullish momentum for the stock. Based on historical data, in 89% of 46 instances where SBLK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in the following month. At the time of the positive MACD crossover, SBLK's stock price stood at $18.28, having surpassed the resistance line at $16.86. During this period, the stock price fluctuated between resistance at $21.27 and support at $16.86. Notably, the stock experienced a +5% uptrend during the period from 07/05/23 to 08/04/23, with a modest +0.60% uptrend growth observed during the week from 07/28/23 to 08/04/23.

Technical indicators, such as the Aroon Indicator and the MACD Histogram, provide valuable insights for traders and investors to gauge potential price movements. For GASS and SBLK, these indicators have recently triggered bullish signals, suggesting a higher probability of upward price trends.

Related Ticker: DAC, GASS, NAT, PANL, SBLK, CCEC, TNK, ASC

DAC's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for DAC moved out of oversold territory on December 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 56 cases where DAC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DAC just turned positive on December 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where DAC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAC advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 27, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DAC as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DAC moved below its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DAC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 29, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for DAC entered a downward trend on December 27, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.450) is normal, around the industry mean (2.229). P/E Ratio (2.731) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.147). DAC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.504). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.091) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.533) is also within normal values, averaging (1.708).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nordic American Tanker (NYSE:NAT).

Industry description

The marine shipping industry provides passenger transportation or cargo shipping services via waterways. This industry includes freight towage, ferry services and warehousing on deep-sea and inland waterways. The aviation sector may have reduced the popularity of sea travel for several passengers, but it is still in demand for short trips and pleasure cruises. Teekay Offshore Partners L.P. Cum Red Perp Pfd., Kirby Corporation and Seaspan Corporation are some of the well-known names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Marine Shipping Industry is 4.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.87K to 31.58B. CICOY holds the highest valuation in this group at 31.58B. The lowest valued company is PRGNF at 1.87K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Marine Shipping Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. ZIM experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while WSSTF experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Marine Shipping Industry was -37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -50% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 26
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 34 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of marine and seaborne transportation services

Industry MarineShipping

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Marine Shipping
Address
c/o Danaos Shipping Co. Ltd
Phone
+30 2104196480
Employees
1718
Web
https://www.danaos.com
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