ROK's Swing Trading Strategy: 15.16% Gains Via Sector Rotation (TA&FA)
Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 15.16% for ROK
In the dynamic world of finance and investments, one strategy has stood out in recent times - the Swing Trading Sector Rotation Strategy. Coupling Technical Analysis (TA) with Fundamental Analysis (FA), this strategy has managed to generate a remarkable return of 15.16% for the shares of Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK).
The efficacy of this strategy is underscored by the positive turn of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ROK on May 18, 2023. The MACD, a trend-following momentum indicator, demonstrates the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. A positive turn, as observed for ROK, signifies an upward momentum, often translating into a lucrative opportunity for investors.
Diving into the historical data provides an even more compelling narrative. When observing past instances where ROK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 out of 44 cases over the following month. This showcases an impressive 82% odds of a continued upward trend.
The Swing Trading Sector Rotation Strategy, based on the principles of TA&FA, has proven to be an effective mechanism in identifying the optimum entry and exit points. By effectively gauging the market sentiment through TA and assessing the intrinsic value of the stocks through FA, this strategy has delivered stellar results.
In the case of ROK, a clear comprehension of the positive MACD and the statistics supporting an upward trend underpins the 15.16% return. The application of TA&FA combined with the swing trading strategy has led to a successful sector rotation, ultimately enabling a substantial appreciation in the stock's value.
The swing trading sector rotation strategy employing both TA and FA is a potent combination, as evidenced by the case of ROK. It presents a sophisticated, yet efficient, approach to navigating through the ever-fluctuating market terrain. The resounding 15.16% return for ROK underscores the potential and efficacy of this strategy, further cementing its place in modern investment portfolios.
ROK's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ROK entered a downward trend on August 29, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 120 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 120 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ROK as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ROK turned negative on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ROK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 28, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ROK's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROK advanced for three days, in of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ROK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.794) is normal, around the industry mean (12.476). P/E Ratio (23.256) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.921). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.225) is also within normal values, averaging (2.027). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.828) is also within normal values, averaging (10.734).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a developer of automation equipment and avionics systems
Industry IndustrialMachinery
ROK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROK has been closely correlated with ITW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ROK jumps, then ITW could also see price increases.