GET DAILY SIGNALSRoku (ROKU, $60.83) drops -4%, on downgrade by Loop Capital
Roku stock was downgraded to “sell” from “hold” by Loop Capital analysts, causing the shares to lose more than -4% in pre-market trading Wednesday.
Loop Capital analysts argued that shares of the digital media player/streaming service company were overvalued, and therefore they could no longer hold the “hold” rating.
Last month, Roku reported its latest quarterly earnings of 5 cents a share beating analysts’ expectations. Its average revenue per user also climbed +30%. However, analysts at Wedbush at the time downgraded the stock to “neutral” from “outperform”, citing possibilities of higher spending by Roku and therefore lower operating margins than the analysts’ had previously estimated.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
ROKU in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ROKU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ROKU as a result. In 72 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +1.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROKU advanced for three days, in 246 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ROKU moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 61 cases where ROKU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ROKU turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
ROKU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROKU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
ROKU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ROKU entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROKU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.159) is normal, around the industry mean (12.945). P/E Ratio (64.365) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.756). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.594) is also within normal values, averaging (2.376). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.566) is also within normal values, averaging (2.932).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ROKU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a developer of applications for digital media
Industry MoviesEntertainment
Advertisement