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Jun 04, 2020

Royal Caribbean (RCL, $58.82) to offer up to $2 billion in bond offerings

Royal Caribbean   plans to offer up to $2 billion in bond offerings, on what seems to be improved investor optimism.  

The cruise company announced that there would be two separate offerings, $1 billion in senior guaranteed notes and $1 billion senior convertible notes, both due in 2023. It will use the funds to pay down debt and for general corporate purposes.

The coronavirus pandemic compelled cruise companies to stop voyages.  

On Wednesday Morgan Stanley analyst Jamie Rollo resumed coverage of Royal Caribbean underweight ratings. Rollo gave Carnival a underweight rating, and downgraded Norwegian to underweight as well.

RCL's 10-day Moving Average broke above its 50-day Moving Average on May 08, 2020

This price move may be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 15 of 19 cases where RCL's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Current price $58.67 crossed the resistance line at $42.72 and is trading between $105.64 support and $42.72 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/01/20 - 06/03/20, the price experienced a +43% Uptrend. During the week of 05/27/20 - 06/03/20, the stock enjoyed a +7% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 18, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 66 of 92 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where RCL's MACD histogram became positive, in 28 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 34 of 49 similar backtested cases where RCL's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RCL advanced for three days, in 201 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 112 of 210 similar cases where RCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 53%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 22 of 43 cases where RCL's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 51%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 49%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.19) is normal, around the industry mean (-82.05). RCL's P/E Ratio (68.49) is considerably higher than the industry average of (27.72). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.68) is also within normal values, averaging (5.45). Dividend Yield (2.22) settles around the average of (1.76) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.64) is also within normal values, averaging (1.87).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RCL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: RCL

RCL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024

RCL moved above its 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for RCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RCL advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 261 cases where RCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

RCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. RCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.634) is normal, around the industry mean (12.417). P/E Ratio (22.276) is within average values for comparable stocks, (61.266). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.646) is also within normal values, averaging (1.804). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.862) is also within normal values, averaging (27.519).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG), Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL), Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM), Carnival Corp (NYSE:CCL), Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE), WW International (NASDAQ:WW).

Industry description

Other consumer services include companies that provide consumer services, and are not classified elsewhere. Travel fare aggregators, hotel bookings, consumer-to-consumer or business-to-business sales platforms are some examples of services that can be clubbed into this category. Many of such services have expanded online. Booking Holdings Inc, The Priceline Group Inc, and eBay Inc. are some major operators in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Services Industry is 8.78B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 158.6K to 121.92B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 121.92B. The lowest valued company is PRXIQ at 158.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. PDRO experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while TRNR experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TRAVEL INDUSTRY
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of a fleet of cruise ships

Industry OtherConsumerServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
1050 Caribbean Way
Phone
+1 305 539-6000
Employees
98200
Web
https://www.royalcaribbeangroup.com
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