Royal Caribbean (RCL, $58.82) to offer up to $2 billion in bond offerings
Royal Caribbean plans to offer up to $2 billion in bond offerings, on what seems to be improved investor optimism.
The cruise company announced that there would be two separate offerings, $1 billion in senior guaranteed notes and $1 billion senior convertible notes, both due in 2023. It will use the funds to pay down debt and for general corporate purposes.
The coronavirus pandemic compelled cruise companies to stop voyages.
On Wednesday Morgan Stanley analyst Jamie Rollo resumed coverage of Royal Caribbean underweight ratings. Rollo gave Carnival a underweight rating, and downgraded Norwegian to underweight as well.
RCL's 10-day Moving Average broke above its 50-day Moving Average on May 08, 2020
This price move may be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 15 of 19 cases where RCL's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
Current price $58.67 crossed the resistance line at $42.72 and is trading between $105.64 support and $42.72 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/01/20 - 06/03/20, the price experienced a +43% Uptrend. During the week of 05/27/20 - 06/03/20, the stock enjoyed a +7% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 18, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 66 of 92 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where RCL's MACD histogram became positive, in 28 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 34 of 49 similar backtested cases where RCL's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RCL advanced for three days, in 201 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 112 of 210 similar cases where RCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 53%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 22 of 43 cases where RCL's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 51%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 49%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2 to 1.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.19) is normal, around the industry mean (-82.05). RCL's P/E Ratio (68.49) is considerably higher than the industry average of (27.72). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.68) is also within normal values, averaging (5.45). Dividend Yield (2.22) settles around the average of (1.76) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.64) is also within normal values, averaging (1.87).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RCL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
RCL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
RCL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 34 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RCL as a result. In 54 of 70 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RCL just turned positive on September 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where RCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +4.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RCL advanced for three days, in 269 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for RCL moved below the 200-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RCL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
RCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for RCL entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.337) is normal, around the industry mean (24.492). P/E Ratio (14.984) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.914). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.980) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.690) is also within normal values, averaging (2.686).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of a fleet of cruise ships
Industry ConsumerSundries
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