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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 24, 2019

Royal Dutch Shell A Shares hit lower rail of trend channel and Tickeron’s Overview is bullish

Oil stocks have bounced around a little in recent months, but for the most part the overall trend has been to the upside. Tensions in the Middle East have increased and that has certainly had an impact on the price of oil. One stock that has been trending higher in somewhat of a pattern is Royal Dutch Shell Class A Shares (NYSE: RDS/A).

If you look at the daily chart below you will see that a trend channel has formed over the last four months. The lower rail connects the low from March with the lows from early and late May. The upper rail connects the highs from March, April, and June. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and looks ready to bounce once again.

The daily stochastic readings are in oversold territory and they just made a bullish crossover on July 19. We see that the indicators also made bullish crossovers at the previously mentioned lows in March and May.

The Tickeron technical analysis overview shows several bullish factors that could help the stock maintain the overall trend. The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day and the 10-day is above the 50-day.

The fundamentals for Royal Dutch Shell are mixed. Earnings were flat in the most recent quarterly report and they are only expected to grow by 6% for 2019. Sales have increased by 22% per year for the last three years, but they were down 6% in the most recent quarter.

The management efficiency measurements are a little below average with a return on equity of 10.9% and a profit margin of 8.5%.

Related Ticker: XLE

XLE's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for XLE entered a downward trend on June 05, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 196 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 196 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLE as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLE turned negative on May 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XLE moved below its 50-day moving average on May 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Schlumberger Limited (NYSE:SLB), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (null:PXD), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Energy Select Sector Index. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Energy companies by the GICS®, including securities of companies from the following industries: oil, gas and consumable fuels; and energy equipment and services. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF is 77.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.68B to 461.22B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 461.22B. The lowest valued company is APA at 10.68B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was -2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. WMB experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while APA experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF ETF was 7%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -68%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 45
Profit Risk Rating: 32
Seasonality Score: -45 (-100 ... +100)
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XLEDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

Category Energy

Profile
Fundamentals
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Equity Energy
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
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Web
www.spdrs.com
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