Oil stocks have bounced around a little in recent months, but for the most part the overall trend has been to the upside. Tensions in the Middle East have increased and that has certainly had an impact on the price of oil. One stock that has been trending higher in somewhat of a pattern is Royal Dutch Shell Class A Shares (NYSE: RDS/A).
If you look at the daily chart below you will see that a trend channel has formed over the last four months. The lower rail connects the low from March with the lows from early and late May. The upper rail connects the highs from March, April, and June. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and looks ready to bounce once again.
The daily stochastic readings are in oversold territory and they just made a bullish crossover on July 19. We see that the indicators also made bullish crossovers at the previously mentioned lows in March and May.
The Tickeron technical analysis overview shows several bullish factors that could help the stock maintain the overall trend. The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day and the 10-day is above the 50-day.
The fundamentals for Royal Dutch Shell are mixed. Earnings were flat in the most recent quarterly report and they are only expected to grow by 6% for 2019. Sales have increased by 22% per year for the last three years, but they were down 6% in the most recent quarter.
The management efficiency measurements are a little below average with a return on equity of 10.9% and a profit margin of 8.5%.
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for XLE moved out of overbought territory on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where XLE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLE as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLE turned negative on July 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 292 cases where XLE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category Energy