Ryanair (RYAAY, $96.04) Lowers Profit Expectations -- Are Rivals Milking The Opportunity?
Ryanair is cutting its profit projections, as the European low-cost airline struggles with flight cancellations, fuel costs and staff strikes.
It announced profit forecast for the current fiscal year in the range of €1.1 billion ($1.27 billion) to €1.2 billion ($1.39 billion) – which is around €150 million ($174 million) lower than the company’s previous expectation. September saw several flight cancellations of the airline and therefore less traffic, which in turn seems to have spiraled into even less demand for its flights as customer apprehensions probably got aggravated. Spike in fuel costs further pressured margins for the company.
As for cabin crew strikes - something it's been facing since December 2017 - the airline has yet to settle disputes with union officials in countries such as Spain, Portugal, Germany and Belgium. But it has had managed to reach agreements with pilots in Ireland and Italy.
Probably adding to Ryanair’s woes is rival EasyJet’s claims on Friday that the latter is benefiting in some ways out of Ryanair’s problems. However, EastJet also expressed concerns about higher fuel costs and staff pay deals of its own.
RYAAY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on February 27, 2026
RYAAY moved below its 50-day moving average on February 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RYAAY as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RYAAY turned negative on March 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for RYAAY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RYAAY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for RYAAY entered a downward trend on March 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 50 cases where RYAAY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RYAAY advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
RYAAY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.268) is normal, around the industry mean (2.611). P/E Ratio (12.763) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.709). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.831) is also within normal values, averaging (2.059). RYAAY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.016) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). RYAAY's P/S Ratio (1.910) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.613).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RYAAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a holding company with interest in operating a low-fares airline
Industry Airlines
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