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Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 13, 2023

Safehold (SAFE, $28.74)Record-breaking daily growth volume of 397%

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) experienced an unprecedented increase in trading volume over the past two days. This surge in volume resulted in a record-breaking daily growth of 397% compared to the 65-Day Volume Moving Average, with the total volume sitting at 754.9K. Despite the significant increase in trading activity, the stock's price remained almost unchanged, with a small -1.29% price change, leaving the stock's price at $29.18.

The increase in trading volume could indicate a change in trend, and may be a buy signal for investors. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence tool, analyzed 19 similar cases and found that 14 of them were successful. Based on this data, the odds of success for Safehold Inc. are calculated at +74%.

In addition to the increase in trading volume, it's worth noting that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator for Safehold Inc. has remained in the oversold zone for seven consecutive days. This indicates that the stock is potentially undervalued and may experience a price increase in the near future. In fact, the longer the RSI indicator remains in the oversold zone, the more likely an uptrend is expected.

When looking at the company's earnings results, Safehold Inc. reported revenue of $44.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, a 9% increase from the same period in the previous year. The company's net income for the quarter was $7.6 million, or $0.18 per share, compared to $7.4 million, or $0.19 per share, in the same period of the previous year.

The significant increase in trading volume for Safehold Inc. suggests a potential change in trend, and the RSI indicator remaining in the oversold zone indicates a possible price increase in the near future. The company's earnings results indicate steady growth, which further supports the potential for a positive price trend. However, investors should always exercise caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

Related Ticker: SAFE

Momentum Indicator for SAFE turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SAFE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 07, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 77 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SAFE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where SAFE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAFE advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SAFE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAFE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SAFE entered a downward trend on May 31, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SAFE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.771) is normal, around the industry mean (2.503). P/E Ratio (13.947) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.329). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.621). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.605) is also within normal values, averaging (6.337).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SAFE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY), Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM), Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry is 4.8B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 51.9K to 243.08B. COFRF holds the highest valuation in this group at 243.08B. The lowest valued company is PDNLB at 51.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. DHC experienced the highest price growth at 57%, while PRLEP experienced the biggest fall at -87%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -67%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -59% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
1114 Avenue of the Americas
Phone
+1 212 930-9400
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.safeholdinc.com
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SAFE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SAFE has been closely correlated with BRX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SAFE jumps, then BRX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SAFE
1D Price
Change %
SAFE100%
-1.89%
BRX - SAFE
70%
Closely correlated
+0.61%
STAG - SAFE
69%
Closely correlated
-0.63%
EPRT - SAFE
69%
Closely correlated
+0.67%
KIM - SAFE
68%
Closely correlated
+0.91%
AKR - SAFE
68%
Closely correlated
+0.17%
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