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Jun 22, 2021
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Sally Beauty (SBH, $22.03) gets rating upgrades from two analysts

Sally Beauty (SBH, $22.03) gets rating upgrades from two analysts

On Tuesday, Sally Beauty  got ratings boost and price target hikes from some analysts.

Cowen analyst Oliver Chen raised the beauty retail company’s shares to  outperform from market perform. Chen  boosted his price target to $30 from $28.

The analyst cited “favorable hair and salon trends” and Sally Beauty's “structural modernization efforts” as factors that should eventually lead to improved brand awareness and earnings growth. According to him, tailwinds to the company included COVID-19-driven do-it-yourself at-home trends yielding about 20% color category growth.

Chen indicated that Sally Beauty is emerging from the pandemic as a stronger retailer on the back of its digital offerings, improving store experience on rehabs, and strategic store closures.

Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh raised rating on Sally Beauty shares to outperform from perform, with a $24 price target. Parikh said that the over 20% pullback in the shares from recent May highs creates an attractive entry point for "value players." Sally Beauty has sustainable earnings per share power in at least the $2.35 range, according to Parikh.

Related Ticker: SBH

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


SBH's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in overbought zone for 12 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SBH moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

SBH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SBH as a result. In 71 of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SBH just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SBH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

SBH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SBH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +6.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBH advanced for three days, in 192 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 133 of 196 cases where SBH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.967) is normal, around the industry mean (2.289). P/E Ratio (9.247) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.578). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.756) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.100) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.430) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.1K to 50.98B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 50.98B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 3.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16%. CHPT experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while NAAS experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -28%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributer of cosmetics, hair care and skin care goods and styling appliances

Industry SpecialtyStores

Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
3001 Colorado Boulevard
Phone
+1 800 777-5706
Employees
27000
Web
https://www.sallybeautyholdings.com
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