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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 27, 2023

Sector Rotation Strategy for Swing Trading (TA&FA) - OBE: 23.16% Returns

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates for OBE 23.16%

In the world of trading, where market fluctuations and volatility play a significant role, having a well-defined strategy can make all the difference. One such strategy that has gained popularity among swing traders is sector rotation. By combining technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), swing traders can identify potential opportunities for generating profits. One recent example of this strategy is evident in the performance of OBE, which yielded an impressive return of 23.16%.

OBE, a stock that recently experienced a dip in its price, is now showing signs of a potential rebound. Technical analysis suggests that OBE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. This upward movement could signal a bullish trend and provide an opportunity for traders to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

When implementing the sector rotation strategy, swing traders evaluate the relative strength of various sectors within the market. They analyze both technical indicators, such as moving averages and price patterns, and fundamental factors, such as industry trends, company financials, and market sentiment. By considering both aspects, swing traders aim to identify sectors that are poised for growth and rotate their investments accordingly.

In the case of OBE, swing traders would have likely identified favorable technical signals indicating a potential upward movement. Additionally, they would have analyzed fundamental factors specific to the company and its sector to assess its growth prospects. By combining these analyses, swing traders could have made informed decisions to buy the stock or explore call options, which are financial derivatives that provide the right to buy the underlying stock at a predetermined price within a specified time frame.

It's important to note that the sector rotation strategy, like any investment approach, carries risks. Market conditions can change rapidly, and there is always the potential for unexpected events that may impact stock prices. Therefore, traders utilizing this strategy should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Swing traders employing the sector rotation strategy, combining technical analysis and fundamental analysis, were able to generate a substantial return of 23.16% from their investment in OBE. By identifying potential opportunities for upward movement and leveraging the strategy's principles, traders were able to capitalize on the stock's price movement.

Related Ticker: OBE

OBE sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On April 15, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for OBE moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 65 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 65 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where OBE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OBE advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OBE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 277 cases where OBE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OBE as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OBE turned negative on April 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

OBE moved below its 50-day moving average on April 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for OBE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 09, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.528) is normal, around the industry mean (4.436). P/E Ratio (8.751) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.254) is also within normal values, averaging (161.907).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. OBE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7%. OILCF experienced the highest price growth at 230%, while PSUD experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which explores and produces oil and natural gas resources

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
207 - 9th Avenue SW
Phone
+1 403 777-2500
Employees
198
Web
https://www.obsidianenergy.com
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