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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 16, 2020

Shake Shack (SHAK, $54.36) cleared of poisoning accusation

Shake Shack  has been exonerated of milkshake poisoning claims.

On Monday, after three NYPD officers alleged that "a toxic substance, believed to be bleach" had been used to spike the milkshakes they ordered from the fast casual restaurant chain .

Shake Shack was cleared of the wrongdoing by NYPD Chief of Detectives Rodney Harrison less than 24 hours after the claims were first brought upon the restaurant  chain. 

After being exonerated, Shake Shack tweeted they are"working hard" to understand what happened.

SHAK in Downtrend: RSI indicator exits overbought zone

SHAK's price could be shifting from an uptrend to a downtrend. Traders may consider selling the ticker or exploring put options. In 23 of 34 cases where SHAK's RSI Indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 68%.

Current price $54.36 crossed the support line at $55.14 and is trading between $55.14 support and $51.71 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/13/20 - 06/15/20, the price experienced a +17% Uptrend, while the week of 06/08/20 - 06/15/20 shows a -12% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 29 of 46 cases where SHAK's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 63%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 30 of 50 cases where SHAK's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 60%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on June 15, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 67 of 86 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHAK advanced for three days, in 250 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 221 of 269 similar cases where SHAK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 64%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.53 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHAK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.41) is normal, around the industry mean (2.81). P/E Ratio (108.20) is within average values for comparable stocks, (114.71). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.41) is also within normal values, averaging (5.27). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.31) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.47) is also within normal values, averaging (1.45).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHAK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: SHAK

Momentum Indicator for SHAK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SHAK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 26, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHAK just turned positive on November 27, 2024. Looking at past instances where SHAK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHAK advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SHAK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 224 cases where SHAK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHAK moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where SHAK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHAK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHAK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.077) is normal, around the industry mean (10.775). SHAK's P/E Ratio (688.200) is considerably higher than the industry average of (57.461). SHAK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.856). SHAK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (5.018) is also within normal values, averaging (8.703).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 8.56B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 214.61B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 214.61B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 68%. FCUL experienced the highest price growth at 594%, while RTBRF experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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SHAK
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of limited-service hamburger restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
225 Varick Street
Phone
+1 646 747-7200
Employees
12196
Web
https://www.shakeshack.com
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