Shake Shack beat expectations on sales growth and revenue for the first quarter, and raised its guidance for the remainder of the year.
The casual restaurant chain reported adjusted earnings of 13 cents a share, in line with analysts’ estimates. But they were lower compared to15 cents a share in the year-ago period.
The company’s revenue at $128.6 million exceeded analysts’ expectations of $127.22 million. Same-store sales gained +3.6%, surpassing analysts’ estimates of +0.8% growth.
Shake Shack raised outlook on full-year revenue to a range of $576 million to $582 million, from the previous forecasted range of $570 million to $576 million. The company now expects full-year same-store sales growth of 1% to 2%, up from the previous projection of 0% to 1% growth.
CEO Randy Garutti said that the company is expecting to open 36 to 40 new company-owned Shacks, alongwith 16 to 18 net new licensed Shacks for its international consumers particularly in Asia and its new markets of mainland China, Singapore, the Philippines and Mexico.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHAK turned positive on April 25, 2024. Looking at past instances where SHAK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 23, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHAK as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SHAK moved above its 50-day moving average on April 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SHAK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 03, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHAK advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHAK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SHAK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SHAK entered a downward trend on May 01, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHAK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: SHAK's P/B Ratio (9.381) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.085). P/E Ratio (185.298) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.378). SHAK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.982). SHAK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (4.168) is also within normal values, averaging (3.233).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of limited-service hamburger restaurants
Industry Restaurants