Shake Shack (SHAK, $60.34) sizzling Q1 same-store sales & revenue beat expectations
Shake Shack beat expectations on sales growth and revenue for the first quarter, and raised its guidance for the remainder of the year.
The casual restaurant chain reported adjusted earnings of 13 cents a share, in line with analysts’ estimates. But they were lower compared to15 cents a share in the year-ago period.
The company’s revenue at $128.6 million exceeded analysts’ expectations of $127.22 million. Same-store sales gained +3.6%, surpassing analysts’ estimates of +0.8% growth.
Shake Shack raised outlook on full-year revenue to a range of $576 million to $582 million, from the previous forecasted range of $570 million to $576 million. The company now expects full-year same-store sales growth of 1% to 2%, up from the previous projection of 0% to 1% growth.
CEO Randy Garutti said that the company is expecting to open 36 to 40 new company-owned Shacks, alongwith 16 to 18 net new licensed Shacks for its international consumers particularly in Asia and its new markets of mainland China, Singapore, the Philippines and Mexico.
Momentum Indicator for SHAK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SHAK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 18, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for SHAK moved above the 200-day moving average on June 26, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHAK advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 225 cases where SHAK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHAK moved out of overbought territory on July 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where SHAK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHAK turned negative on July 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHAK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SHAK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHAK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.905) is normal, around the industry mean (7.803). SHAK's P/E Ratio (482.931) is considerably higher than the industry average of (41.866). SHAK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.931). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.843) is also within normal values, averaging (8.702).
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General Information
an operator of limited-service hamburger restaurants
Industry Restaurants
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