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Sep 02, 2023

Shale Oil Rockets +5.24%: Exploring Gains with $XOM, $BHP, $EOG, $PXD, and $HES

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Tickers of this Group:

$MUR - Murphy Oil Corporation      $HES - Hess Corporation                  $MRO - Marathon Oil Corporation

$APA - APA Corporation                   $EOG - EOG Resources, Inc.            $PXD - Pioneer Natural Resources Company

$BHP - BHP Group                            $XOM - Exxon Mobil Corporation     $CPE - Callon Petroleum Company

 $CHRD - CHRD                                 $ERF - Enerplus Corporation            $MTDR - Matador Resources Company

$VTLE - VTLE                                    $FANG - Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Unlocking the Momentum: Shale Oil Sector Records a Strong +5.24% Gain in 1 Week

Dive into the dynamic world of the shale oil sector and explore its recent market movements that have left investors intrigued and strategists buzzing. This week, shale oil stocks such as $XOM, $BHP, $EOG, $PXD, and $HES have surged by a notable +5.24%. Join us as we dissect these remarkable market shifts and delve into the underlying themes shaping this sector's landscape.

Shale Oil Industry Takes Center Stage

The shale oil industry encompasses a diverse range of companies, from energy giants like Exxon Mobil to specialized producers like Diamondback Energy. These firms engage in various facets of oil production, including retrieving and refining shale oil. While the extraction process is costlier compared to conventional oil drilling, the resulting oil boasts superior quality. Market prices for oil are influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, and domestic political environments. Additionally, the sector faces scrutiny from environmentally conscious administrations, and Middle East tensions can trigger significant price fluctuations.

Sector's Current Outlook and Momentum

Presently, the shale oil sector showcases a positive outlook driven by the MA200MA50 Indicator, pointing toward potential future gains. Tickeron's Fear & Greed Index predicts an increase of over 4.00% within the next month, with an 80% likelihood. Notably, the recent daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes stands at an impressive 1.94 to 1.

Momentum indicators further accentuate the sector's potential, with 10 key tickers demonstrating a favorable upward trend. With an average likelihood of 80%, these indicators provide insights into the sector's continued growth prospects.

Exploring the Notable Players

Among the prominent players in this sector, we find a diverse mix of companies driving innovation and growth. Companies like Exxon Mobil Corp ($XOM), BHP Group Limited ($BHP), EOG Resources ($EOG), Pioneer Natural Resource Co ($PXD), Hess Corp ($HES), Diamondback Energy ($FANG), Marathon Oil Corp ($MRO), APA Corp ($APA), Chord Energy Corp ($CHRD), and Callon Petroleum Company ($CPE) command attention with their distinctive contributions to the sector's expansion.

Navigating the Market Capitalization Landscape

The average market capitalization within the shale oil sector registers at 60.8B, with tickers ranging from 20.4M to 442B. Exxon Mobil Corp ($XOM) leads the pack with a valuation of 442B, while HPR holds the position of the lowest valued company at 20.4M.

Tracking Price Trends: Highs and Lows

Recent price movements within the shale oil Theme have garnered attention, with an average weekly growth of 5.24%. Monthly and quarterly trends also reflect the sector's resilience, showcasing average growth rates of 8.87% and 8.01% respectively. It's worth noting that while CPE achieved the highest price growth at 9.28%, FANG experienced a modest decline of 1.83%.

Volume Dynamics and Trading Patterns

The weekly volume growth across the sector demonstrates vitality, registering an average growth of 15.62%. However, monthly and quarterly volume trends saw slight contractions of -5% and -5.92% respectively.

Evaluating Fundamental Analysis Ratings

When it comes to fundamental analysis, the sector's ratings paint an intriguing picture. The average ratings range from 1 (best) to 100 (worst):

  • Valuation Rating: 54
  • P/E Growth Rating: 56
  • Price Growth Rating: 35
  • SMR Rating: 36
  • Profit Risk Rating: 46
  • Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)

Key Indicators Point Toward Future Trends

Several key indicators shed light on the potential directions of individual stocks within the shale oil sector:

  • EOG Resources ($EOG) witnesses its 50-day moving average crossing bullishly above its 200-day moving average, hinting at a long-term bullish signal.
  • BHP Group ($BHP) shows positive signs as its RSI Oscillator emerges from oversold territory, possibly signaling a shift from downward to upward trends.
  • Chord Energy ($CHRD) exhibits a +2.24% uptrend, growing for three consecutive days, indicating bullish momentum.
  • Callon Petroleum ($CPE) experiences a positive turnaround as its MACD Histogram becomes positive, suggesting potential price gains.
  • APA Corp ($APA) benefits from its 50-day moving average crossing bullishly above its 200-day moving average, potentially marking the start of an upward trend.

These indicators collectively offer insights into the stocks' performance and possible future trajectories.

Intriguing Prospects: Expected Growth and Momentum

The sector holds promise for further growth and potential shifts in momentum:

  • EOG Resources ($EOG) is predicted to grow by 4% to $133.76 or beyond in the next month, with odds of an uptrend continuation at 76%.
  • Matador Resources ($MTDR) sees its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turning positive, presenting a bullish indicator for potential price increases.
  • BHP Group ($BHP) and Hess Corp ($HES) both witness their MACD Histograms turning positive, suggesting potential price rises.
  • Marathon Oil Corp ($MRO) benefits from its Momentum Indicator turning positive, signifying a potential new upward trend.
  • Chord Energy ($CHRD) and Callon Petroleum ($CPE) exhibit similar positive trends, with their MACD Histograms and Momentum indicators offering insights into potential bullish movements.

Riding the Shale Oil Momentum

The recent surge of +5.24% in the shale oil sector exemplifies the industry's dynamism and resilience. As companies like Exxon Mobil Corp ($XOM), BHP Group Limited ($BHP), EOG Resources ($EOG), and others continue to shape the sector's landscape, it's clear that opportunities abound. The sector's positive outlook, paired with key indicators and trends, unveils a world of possibilities for investors ready to ride the shale oil momentum to their advantage.

Related Ticker: MUR, APA, BHP, CHRD, VTLE, HES, EOG, XOM, ERF, FANG, MRO, PXD, CPE, MTDR

MUR sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

MUR saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 22, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MUR moved out of overbought territory on September 11, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MUR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 25, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MUR as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MUR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MUR advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MUR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 271 cases where MUR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MUR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.305) is normal, around the industry mean (6.197). P/E Ratio (6.761) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.492). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.328) is also within normal values, averaging (2.534). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.125) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.807) is also within normal values, averaging (120.438).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (NYSE:PXD), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Marathon Oil Corp (NYSE:MRO).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 144.98B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 144.98B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. UNRG experienced the highest price growth at 85%, while GRVE experienced the biggest fall at -56%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in oil and gas exploration and production

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
9805 Katy Freeway
Phone
+1 281 675-9000
Employees
691
Web
https://www.murphyoilcorp.com
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MUR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MUR has been closely correlated with MRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MUR jumps, then MRO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MUR
1D Price
Change %
MUR100%
+3.11%
MRO - MUR
88%
Closely correlated
+1.72%
MTDR - MUR
86%
Closely correlated
+1.94%
FANG - MUR
86%
Closely correlated
+1.37%
MGY - MUR
86%
Closely correlated
+1.89%
HES - MUR
86%
Closely correlated
+1.21%
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