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published in Blogs
May 28, 2019

Shares of Foot Locker (FL, $44.02) plummet after missing Street estimates

Shares of the American sportswear and footwear retailer, Foot Locker, plunged more than 16% on Friday after the shoe retailer reported fiscal first-quarter earnings that missed Wall Street profit and revenue estimates.

Company’s adjusted earnings per share for Q1 stood at $1.53 compared to Wall Street’s estimate of $1.60. While the revenue for the quarter stood at $2.08 billion against the expectation of $2.11 billion, despite the net sales increasing by 2.62% during the quarter.

On an unadjusted basis, Foot Locker reported fiscal first-quarter net income of $172 million, or $1.52 per share, up from $165 million, or $1.38 per share a year earlier.

The main reason for such an unsatisfactory performance of the company is its excessive dependence on major shoe companies like Nike (NKE) who are increasingly bypassing the retailers by directly selling its product to their customers. According to analysts, Foot Locker is excessively dependant on Nike for its sales as the manufacturer accounted for nearly 66% of its sales in fiscal 2018.

The overall situation further worsened as more and more shoppers continued avoiding the retailer, majority of Foot Lockers stores are located in malls, for online shopping.

During the quarter the company also undertook the repurchase of 32,100 shares worth $1.8 million, but which again fell short of the analyst expectations.

With the broader shoe industry facing its own set of challenges, as President Trump has threatened to levy more tariffs on footwear imported from China, the shoe retailers are set for a tough time ahead.

Taking into count the overall situation the company said it now expects its earnings per share to be “up high-single digits” for the year, rather than double-digit growth.

Related Ticker: FL

FL's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for FL moved out of oversold territory on March 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 33 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FL advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FL as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FL turned negative on March 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FL entered a downward trend on March 18, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.900) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (32.759) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). FL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.317) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 13.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13%. VSCO experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while DLTH experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 64% and the average quarterly volume growth was 47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company which sells athletic footwear and apparels

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
330 West 34th Street
Phone
+1 212 720-3700
Employees
46880
Web
http://www.footlocker-inc.com
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