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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 16, 2023

Shares of Fuel Energy Inc. ( $FCEL) surged by over 8% as investors anticipated increased volatility in the market.

U.S. stock futures started the day lower as investors focused on a critical meeting between congressional leaders and President Joe Biden. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.22%, Nasdaq 100 futures declined by 0.12%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 79 points, or 0.24%.

The key concern is progress on a deal to raise the debt ceiling before June 1 to avoid a potential default on U.S. debt obligations. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned of severe consequences, including an "economic catastrophe," if an agreement is not reached. Yellen reiterated that the U.S. could face default as early as June 1 without a deal, emphasizing the risks of waiting until the last minute. She noted the increased borrowing costs already observed for securities maturing in early June.

President Biden has maintained an optimistic outlook, while House Speaker Kevin McCarthy acknowledges significant obstacles. The situation is seen as potentially precarious, with a likelihood of reaching a deal just before the deadline.

In Monday's regular trading, the stock market displayed positive performance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke its five-session losing streak, while the Nasdaq Composite led the way with a gain of 0.66%. Additionally, the S&P 500 recorded an increase of 0.3%. Our robots also experienced some gains during this period. The shares of Fuel Energy Inc. (FCEL) saw a significant rise of over 8%. The robots held long positions on these stocks, benefiting from the upward movement.

Investors eagerly await April's retail sales report for insights into consumer behavior, with economists anticipating a modest increase of 0.8%.

Several central bank officials will speak, including Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr, Fed Presidents Raphael Bostic, John Williams, and Austan Goolsbee. They will address various events and provide further perspectives on the economy.

This week, investors can also anticipate earnings reports from major consumer staples companies, including Home Depot, Target, and Walmart, which will provide additional insights into the performance of these essential sectors.

Related Ticker: FCEL

Momentum Indicator for FCEL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

FCEL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 74 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 74 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FCEL turned negative on April 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FCEL moved below its 50-day moving average on April 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCEL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for FCEL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCEL advanced for three days, in of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FCEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 150 cases where FCEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.817) is normal, around the industry mean (79.385). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.854). FCEL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.939). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.086) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.023) is also within normal values, averaging (168.555).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FCEL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FCEL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR), Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH), SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG), Bloom Energy Corp (NYSE:BE), Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ), FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL), SunPower Corp (NASDAQ:SPWR), GrafTech International Ltd (NYSE:EAF).

Industry description

The industry produces a diverse range of electricity-powered equipment, appliances and components, catering to both households and industries. The products include power, distribution and specialty transformers; electric motors, generators and motor-generator sets; switchgear and switchboard apparatus; light bulbs, tubes, fittings and electric signs etc. Consumer income, construction spending, and industrial production are major drivers of demand for this industry’s products. Large companies tend to have economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution, while smaller companies can potentially carve out their own market through niche or specialty offerings. The US electrical products manufacturing industry includes about 5,700 establishments (single-location companies and units of multi-location companies) with combined annual revenue of about $125 billion. (according to a study published in First Research). Emerson Electric Co., Hubbell Incorporated and Eaton Corporation plc are major electrical products makers in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electrical Products Industry is 3.67B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 750 to 181.26B. NISSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 181.26B. The lowest valued company is EDYYF at 750.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electrical Products Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. DFLI experienced the highest price growth at 65%, while STI experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electrical Products Industry was 54%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 53% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 63
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: -7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of installs and services fuel cell power plants for distributed power generation

Industry ElectricalProducts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Industrial Machinery
Address
3 Great Pasture Road
Phone
+1 203 825-6000
Employees
591
Web
https://www.fuelcellenergy.com
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