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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 08, 2020
Shopping habits are changed for good. Here's a company that can benefit

Shopping habits are changed for good. Here's a company that can benefit

The pandemic has accelerated many consumer spending trends, and most of them involve ditching brick and mortar stores for online/e-commerce platforms. The clothing business is no exception. As consumers shun malls and stores in favor of shopping from home, clothing retailers are scrambling to find ways to keep them interested. Few have been as successful recently as Stitch Fix. 

Stitch Fix is an online platform whose algorithms the company claims are very good at predicting what a customer will want to buy. Each customer has a personal "stylist" who picks potential options for the customer to consider, and then those clothes can be shipped and returned based on what the customer wants. It's a highly personalized shopping service, all conducted at home and online -- ideal for a pandemic. 

Stitch Fix recently reported earnings, showing double-digit year over year revenue growth and its highest net additions of new clients in the company's history. That sent the stock soaring 42%. The question is, can the company's strength last?

Related Ticker: SFIX

SFIX's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SFIX moved out of overbought territory on April 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFIX as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SFIX turned negative on May 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on April 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where SFIX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

SFIX moved above its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SFIX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.348) is normal, around the industry mean (7.334). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.133). SFIX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.194). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.029). P/S Ratio (0.361) is also within normal values, averaging (13.641).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 19.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 192.23B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 192.23B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. DBGI experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while ESHDF experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 415 882-7765
Employees
4165
Web
https://www.stitchfix.com
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