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published in Blogs
Dec 08, 2020

Shopping habits are changed for good. Here's a company that can benefit

The pandemic has accelerated many consumer spending trends, and most of them involve ditching brick and mortar stores for online/e-commerce platforms. The clothing business is no exception. As consumers shun malls and stores in favor of shopping from home, clothing retailers are scrambling to find ways to keep them interested. Few have been as successful recently as Stitch Fix. 

Stitch Fix is an online platform whose algorithms the company claims are very good at predicting what a customer will want to buy. Each customer has a personal "stylist" who picks potential options for the customer to consider, and then those clothes can be shipped and returned based on what the customer wants. It's a highly personalized shopping service, all conducted at home and online -- ideal for a pandemic. 

Stitch Fix recently reported earnings, showing double-digit year over year revenue growth and its highest net additions of new clients in the company's history. That sent the stock soaring 42%. The question is, can the company's strength last?

Related Ticker: SFIX

SFIX in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on March 28, 2024

SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 48 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFIX as a result. In of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on March 27, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SFIX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFIX just turned positive on March 21, 2024. Looking at past instances where SFIX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 264 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.490) is normal, around the industry mean (3.862). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (100.955). SFIX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (0.208) is also within normal values, averaging (2.003).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 12.45B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 35%. RENT experienced the highest price growth at 179%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -32% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 86
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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SFIXDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 415 882-7765
Employees
5860
Web
https://www.stitchfix.com
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