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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 26, 2019
Short-term trend channel forms on Hong Kong ETF

Short-term trend channel forms on Hong Kong ETF

The Hong Kong market has been trending higher since the end of October. Over the last few months, a trend channel has formed on the chart of the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (NYSE: EWH) with a more defined cyclical pattern to it. The lows from early March and late March connect to form the lower rail while the highs from February and April connect to form the upper rail. The ETF has drifted lower from that high earlier in April and the fund is now hitting that lower rail.

We see that the daily stochastic readings reached oversold territory in the last few days and this is the first time they have been oversold since late October. The indicators made a bullish crossover on April 25 which is a possible bullish sign for the EWH.

In addition to the chart, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on the EWH on April 24. That signal showed a confidence level of 86% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. Previous predictions on the EWH have been successful 76% of the time.

What is really interesting about the EWH is that it didn’t dip near as much in December as other global indices and ETFs. From October 29 when the EWH hit its low close through December 24, the EWH gained 5.09%. The S&P 500 was down 11.57% during that time period and the Shanghai Composite index was down 2.76%. As a result of not falling as much in December, the EWH has outperformed the S&P and the SSEC over the last six months.

Related Ticker: EWH

Aroon Indicator for EWH shows an upward move is likely

EWH's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on March 03, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 212 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 212 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWH advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EWH moved out of overbought territory on March 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EWH as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EWH turned negative on March 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EWH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Hong Kong 25/50 Index. The fund seeks to track the investment results of the index, which is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Hong Kong. It generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The fund is non-diversified.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF ETF was -4%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. FUTU experienced the highest price growth at -4%, while FUTU experienced the biggest fall at -4%.
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category PacificAsiaexJapanStk

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
China Region
Address
iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ishares.com
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