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Apr 26, 2019
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Short-term trend channel forms on Hong Kong ETF

Short-term trend channel forms on Hong Kong ETF

The Hong Kong market has been trending higher since the end of October. Over the last few months, a trend channel has formed on the chart of the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (NYSE: EWH) with a more defined cyclical pattern to it. The lows from early March and late March connect to form the lower rail while the highs from February and April connect to form the upper rail. The ETF has drifted lower from that high earlier in April and the fund is now hitting that lower rail.

We see that the daily stochastic readings reached oversold territory in the last few days and this is the first time they have been oversold since late October. The indicators made a bullish crossover on April 25 which is a possible bullish sign for the EWH.

In addition to the chart, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on the EWH on April 24. That signal showed a confidence level of 86% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. Previous predictions on the EWH have been successful 76% of the time.

What is really interesting about the EWH is that it didn’t dip near as much in December as other global indices and ETFs. From October 29 when the EWH hit its low close through December 24, the EWH gained 5.09%. The S&P 500 was down 11.57% during that time period and the Shanghai Composite index was down 2.76%. As a result of not falling as much in December, the EWH has outperformed the S&P and the SSEC over the last six months.

Related Ticker: EWH

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


EWH's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EWH turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where EWH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EWH as a result. In 60 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

EWH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EWH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +0.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWH advanced for three days, in 255 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 172 of 214 cases where EWH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for EWH moved below the 200-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EWH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

EWH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Hong Kong 25/50 Index. The fund seeks to track the investment results of the index, which is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Hong Kong. It generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF is 8.42B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 439.99M to 13.75B. FUTU holds the highest valuation in this group at 13.75B. The lowest valued company is HKD at 439.99M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF was 4%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. FUTU experienced the highest price growth at -2%, while USD experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH) ETF was -26%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -87%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 97
Price Growth Rating: 74
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -38 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category Unknown

Category
Greater China Region
Address
iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ishares.com
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