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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 26, 2019

Short-term trend channel forms on Hong Kong ETF

The Hong Kong market has been trending higher since the end of October. Over the last few months, a trend channel has formed on the chart of the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (NYSE: EWH) with a more defined cyclical pattern to it. The lows from early March and late March connect to form the lower rail while the highs from February and April connect to form the upper rail. The ETF has drifted lower from that high earlier in April and the fund is now hitting that lower rail.

We see that the daily stochastic readings reached oversold territory in the last few days and this is the first time they have been oversold since late October. The indicators made a bullish crossover on April 25 which is a possible bullish sign for the EWH.

In addition to the chart, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on the EWH on April 24. That signal showed a confidence level of 86% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. Previous predictions on the EWH have been successful 76% of the time.

What is really interesting about the EWH is that it didn’t dip near as much in December as other global indices and ETFs. From October 29 when the EWH hit its low close through December 24, the EWH gained 5.09%. The S&P 500 was down 11.57% during that time period and the Shanghai Composite index was down 2.76%. As a result of not falling as much in December, the EWH has outperformed the S&P and the SSEC over the last six months.

Related Ticker: EWH

Momentum Indicator for EWH turns positive, indicating new upward trend

EWH saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 23, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWH advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 179 cases where EWH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EWH turned negative on June 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EWH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

EWH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Hong Kong 25/50 Index. The fund seeks to track the investment results of the index, which is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Hong Kong. It generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The fund is non-diversified.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF ETF was -1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 16%, and the average quarterly price growth was 51%. FUTU experienced the highest price growth at -3%, while FUTU experienced the biggest fall at -3%.
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General Information

Category PacificAsiaexJapanStk

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
China Region
Address
iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
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N/A
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www.ishares.com
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