Sick of Tesla and Looking for a Climate Trade? Think General Motors
Tesla's meteoric rise over the last couple of years has disconnected the company's share price from its fundamental value, in my view. Consider that Tesla is still a barely profitable company whose market capitalization exceeds all other major US, European, and Japanese auto companies combined. What's more, Tesla's sales are just 1/50th of the other major automakers.
Enter General Motors (GM), which announced late last week they were setting a goal of 2035 for phasing out gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles, which is a huge deal for GM -- vehicles that run on fossil fuels make up approximately 98% of GM's total sales. The announcement is a monumental shift in the company's long-term strategy, and sets it up to compete with Tesla in the decades to come.
The available market share for EV sales is still very much up for grabs -- about 2.2 million EVs were sold globally in 2020, which made up a mere 3% of overall auto sales. Imagine a time when 50% of all auto sales are EVs! Who will be selling the most vehicles then?
GM's decision comes at a time when the market is pushing corporations towards climate-friendly policies and emissions-conscious production. GM took a big step last week in saying it wants to be a long-term player.
So which stock does Tickeron's A.I. like the most now? Below, A.I.dvisor runs analytics on both stocks side by side, with actionable trade ideas.
GM in -4.31% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on December 18, 2024
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where GM declined for three days, in of 300 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 26, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GM as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GM turned negative on November 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
GM moved below its 50-day moving average on December 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GM advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 223 cases where GM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.815) is normal, around the industry mean (6.142). P/E Ratio (6.202) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.218). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.846) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). GM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (0.362) is also within normal values, averaging (78.580).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of cars, trucks and automobile parts
Industry MotorVehicles