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published in Blogs
Nov 23, 2020
Sin Stocks Can’t Seem to Break Out of Downward Trends

Sin Stocks Can’t Seem to Break Out of Downward Trends

You may have heard the term “sin stock” at some point over the years, but do you really know which companies are considered sin stocks? Traditionally the term is applied to companies that operate in industries such as alcohol, tobacco, and gambling. There is a long-held belief that these stocks tend to do well no matter what the economy is doing. The reasoning behind that belief is based on how demand for the products is pretty consistent and may even increase during stressful economic times.

While browsing through charts recently I found two sin stocks that can’t seem to break out of the downward trends they have been in for the last four years or so. Altria (MO) and Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) have both seen their stocks trend lower in recent years, but the companies have decent fundamental indicators.

If we look at the weekly chart for Altria we see that the stock has been trending lower since the second quarter of 2017 and from its peak through its low, the stock lost over half of its value. There is also a trend channel that has formed that defines the cycles within the overall downward trend.

Looking at the weekly chart for Molson Coors, we see that the stock peaked just above $100 back in the fourth quarter of 2016. Just last month the stock was trading below $33. We also see a downwardly sloped trend channel forming for the brewer. One difference between the charts is that Molson Coors is in overbought territory based on the 10-week RSI and the weekly stochastic indicators.

Given the downward trends the stocks have been in, you might think the two would rate very poorly when it comes to the fundamentals. But that isn’t the case at all. Tickeron’s fundamental screener shows that Altria does really well with five positive readings and only one negative reading. Molson Coors shows two positive ratings and two negative with three neutral readings.

Both companies get positive readings from the Valuation Rating and from the Seasonality Score. Both companies also get negative ratings in the Profit vs. Risk category—both scoring a 100, the worst possible score. Altria gets additional positive readings in the Outlook Rating, SMR Rating, and P/E Growth Rating. The P/E Growth Rating for Molson Coors is the other bearish reading.

The full analysis from Tickeron shows how the stocks stack up against one another as well as how they compare to other stocks in general.

Related Ticker: MO

MO sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for MO moved above the 200-day moving average on February 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 261 cases where MO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MO moved out of overbought territory on February 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where MO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MO turned negative on March 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (11.271). P/E Ratio (16.534) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.761). MO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.018) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.214). Dividend Yield (0.061) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. MO's P/S Ratio (5.692) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.428).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 36.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 999 to 286.15B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 286.15B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 999.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. LIFD experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while TPB experienced the biggest fall at -35%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 253%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
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MO
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MO showed earnings on January 29, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company which produces and markets tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
6601 West Broad Street
Phone
+1 804 274-2200
Employees
6400
Web
https://www.altria.com
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