The "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis v.2 (TA)," has recently captured attention with its remarkable performance, achieving an impressive +9.13% gain while trading RIOT over the past week. In this article, we'll delve into the bot's performance and dissect the latest market indicators, with a particular focus on Riot Blockchain, Inc. (RIOT).
RIOT in a Downward Trend: Breaking Below the 50-Day Moving Average
A significant development in the RIOT stock is its descent below the 50-day moving average on August 15, 2023. This event signifies a shift from an upward trend to a downward one, a critical observation for traders and investors alike. To provide context, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 30 similar past instances of stocks moving below their 50-day moving average. In an overwhelming 27 out of these 30 cases, the stock price continued to decline further within the subsequent month. This data indicates a striking 90% likelihood of a sustained downward trend for RIOT in the near future.
Earnings Report and Market Capitalization
To understand the fundamental aspects of RIOT, we turn to its recent earnings report, which was released on August 09, 2023. The report revealed earnings per share of -17 cents, surpassing the estimated -20 cents. This performance might instill confidence among investors, but it's crucial to keep an eye on how future earnings reports unfold. RIOT currently boasts 17.05 million shares outstanding, resulting in a market capitalization of 2.03 billion dollars.
Comparing RIOT's market capitalization to the average across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry provides valuable context. The industry average stands at 9.65 billion dollars, showcasing a significant disparity in market capitalization among different companies. Notably, PKRSF holds the highest valuation within this industry group at a staggering 928.5 billion dollars, while the lowest-valued company is BFCH at 13 million dollars.
High and Low Price Movements in the Industry
Analyzing price movements within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry reveals interesting trends. The average weekly price growth across all stocks in this industry was stagnant at 0%, suggesting a period of price stability. On a monthly scale, the average price growth remained negative at -5%, indicating a generally bearish sentiment. However, over a quarterly horizon, the industry experienced significant price growth, with an average increase of 151%. FGCO stood out with the highest price growth at 77%, while LGHL faced the most substantial decline at -33%.
Volume Trends in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry
Finally, let's examine the volume trends within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry. The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in this sector was positive at 6%, indicating a heightened level of trading activity on a weekly basis. On a monthly scale, the industry maintained an average volume growth of 16%, signifying continued interest from investors and traders. However, over the course of the quarter, the industry saw a decline in volume, with an average quarterly volume growth rate of -34%.
In summary, the performance of the "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis v.2 (TA)" bot with RIOT serves as a compelling example of AI's potential in navigating volatile markets. RIOT's shift to a downward trend following its dip below the 50-day moving average presents a significant challenge for investors.
The Aroon Indicator for RIOT entered a downward trend on September 25, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 232 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 232 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 13, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIOT as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RIOT turned negative on September 25, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for RIOT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 18, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIOT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIOT advanced for three days, in of 251 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
RIOT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RIOT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.380) is normal, around the industry mean (4.710). P/E Ratio (75.188) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.759). RIOT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.342). RIOT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (5.724) is also within normal values, averaging (129.899).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIOT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a financial conglomerate
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RIOT has been closely correlated with MARA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RIOT jumps, then MARA could also see price increases.