Stitch Fix has had a wild ride in the 17 months since it went public
Online clothing retailer Stitch Fix (Nasdaq: SFIX) has experienced a wild ride since it went public back in November 2017. When the stock started trading on November 16, 2017, it jumped over 240% by September 17, 2018. The stock peaked at $52.44 in September but then proceeded to fall down to $16.05.
Since that low on Christmas Eve, the stock jumped to a high of $37.72, a gain of 135% in less than three months. The stock has pulled back once again, but it appears to be finding support at its 50-day moving average at this time.
The recent pullback did move the daily stochastic readings into oversold territory and the indicators made a bullish crossover on April 11.
In addition to the potential bullish signal from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for Stitch Fix on April 10. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 89%. Previous predictions on Stitch Fix have been successful 62% of the time.
The fundamentals for Stitch Fix are pretty impressive. The earnings for the last three years have declined by 10% per year, but the most recent quarterly report showed earnings growth of 71%. The company’s sales have increased by an average of 35% per year for the last three years and they were up by 25% in the most recent quarter.
Stitch Fix’s management efficiency ratings are mixed with a return on equity of 62.1% which is really strong, but the profit margin is only 3.5% and that is well below average. It is also worth noting that the company doesn’t have any long-term debt.
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SFIX's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for SFIX moved out of oversold territory on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 30 of the 33 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 58 of 63 cases where SFIX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFIX just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SFIX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +3.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in 216 of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
SFIX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFIX as a result. In 89 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.683) is normal, around the industry mean (3.366). P/E Ratio (101.960) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.300) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.292) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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