Stitch Fix has had a wild ride in the 17 months since it went public
Online clothing retailer Stitch Fix (Nasdaq: SFIX) has experienced a wild ride since it went public back in November 2017. When the stock started trading on November 16, 2017, it jumped over 240% by September 17, 2018. The stock peaked at $52.44 in September but then proceeded to fall down to $16.05.
Since that low on Christmas Eve, the stock jumped to a high of $37.72, a gain of 135% in less than three months. The stock has pulled back once again, but it appears to be finding support at its 50-day moving average at this time.
The recent pullback did move the daily stochastic readings into oversold territory and the indicators made a bullish crossover on April 11.
In addition to the potential bullish signal from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for Stitch Fix on April 10. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 89%. Previous predictions on Stitch Fix have been successful 62% of the time.
The fundamentals for Stitch Fix are pretty impressive. The earnings for the last three years have declined by 10% per year, but the most recent quarterly report showed earnings growth of 71%. The company’s sales have increased by an average of 35% per year for the last three years and they were up by 25% in the most recent quarter.
Stitch Fix’s management efficiency ratings are mixed with a return on equity of 62.1% which is really strong, but the profit margin is only 3.5% and that is well below average. It is also worth noting that the company doesn’t have any long-term debt.
SFIX's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFIX turned positive on May 11, 2023. Looking at past instances where SFIX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SFIX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 22, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SFIX as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for SFIX moved below the 200-day moving average on May 02, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 30, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on May 25, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.600) is normal, around the industry mean (3.366). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (107.547). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.382). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (0.219) is also within normal values, averaging (1.527).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
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Industry description
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High and low price notable news
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
SFIX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SFIX has been loosely correlated with ZUMZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SFIX jumps, then ZUMZ could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SFIX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFIX | 100% | +1.11% | ||
| ZUMZ - SFIX | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.30% | ||
| CRI - SFIX | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| GPS - SFIX | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| BOOT - SFIX | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.21% | ||
| GES - SFIX | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
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