Stitch Fix (SFIX, $20.06) shares falter after-hours, after beating fiscal Q4 results but offering softer guidance on Q1
Shares of Stitch Fix slumped by as much as -12%after-hours, following the company’s latest quarterly earnings release. Although the company's quarterly results surpassed estimates, its softer forecast on future quarter hurt the stock price.
The online personal styling service’s fiscal fourth quarter earnings came in at 7 cents per share, beating analysts’ expectations of 4 cents a share.
Revenue surged +36% year-over-year to $432.1 million, which is slightly higher than the $432 million expected.
Stitch Fix’s active client base grew +18% year over year, to 3.2 million people - about in-line with the 3.23 million analysts were expecting (based on FactSet poll).
However, what probably led to its shares declining was its indication of a “softer” outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2020. For the first quarter, Stitch Fix is expecting sales to range between $438 million and $442 million – below the Street forecast of $451 million. Stitch Fix is expecting a softer growth for the first quarter compared to the full-year growth, citing their successful summer products’ lower average unit retails and average order values, coupled with less marketing spend in late Q4 ’19 leading to fewer clients at the start of Q1 ’20.
The company predicts that annual sales would range between $1.9 billion and $1.93 billion, while analysts have been expecting $1.91 billion.
SFIX in -5.54% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on February 03, 2025
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SFIX declined for three days, in of 323 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SFIX turned negative on January 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 67 cases where SFIX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 07, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SFIX as a result. In of 103 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 216 cases where SFIX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.490) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). SFIX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (0.208) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail