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Mar 12, 2019
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Stitch Fix (SFIX, $26.98) soars +20%, on fiscal Q2 earnings beat and strong Q3 guidance

Stitch Fix (SFIX, $26.98) soars +20%, on fiscal Q2 earnings beat and strong Q3 guidance

Stitch Fix soared in after-hours trading Monday, on strong fiscal second quarter performance.

The online subscription fashion & styling service company reported earnings of 12 cents per share for the quarter, surpassing Wall Street estimates of 5 cents a share.

The company's quarterly revenue came in at $370 million, beating Street expectation of $365 million. (Analysts estimates are based on Refinitiv data). Net revenue was +25% higher from the year-ago quarter. Stitch Fix founder and CEO Katrina Lake emphasized that the firm delivered growth of over +20% for the six consecutive quarters since the company went public.

The number of active clients of Stitch Fix grew +18% year-over-year to 2.96 million, edging past estimates of 2.95 million.

Looking ahead, Stitch Fix expects its third-quarter revenue to range between $388 million and $398 million, higher than the $384 million forecast by Refinitiv. For 2019, the company projects revenues between $1.53 billion and $1.56 billion, exceeding analysts’ estimates of $1.51 billion.

Stitch Fix shares jumped as much as +20% during extended trading on Monday.

 

Related Ticker: SFIX

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


SFIX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026

SFIX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 37 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SFIX as a result. In 80 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFIX just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SFIX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +3.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in 215 of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.950) is normal, around the industry mean (1.914). SFIX has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-21.000) as compared to the industry average of (13.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.300) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.065) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.292) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 33 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 9.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 189.04B. IDEXF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. BOOT experienced the highest price growth at 28%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 33%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was 30%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 415 882-7765
Employees
4165
Web
https://www.stitchfix.com
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Stitch Fix (SFIX, $26.98) soars +20%, on fiscal Q2 earnings beat and strong Q3 guidance