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Mar 09, 2021
Stitch Fix (SFIX, $49.27) reports second quarter loss; lowers full-year sales guidance

Stitch Fix (SFIX, $49.27) reports second quarter loss; lowers full-year sales guidance

Stitch Fix posted a loss for its second quarter. The online styling company  also lowered its full-year sales forecast .

The company’s loss for the three months ending in January was -20 cents per share, down from a profit of 11 cents over the same period. Analysts expected loss of -22 cents.

Revenues rose +11.6% year-over-year to $504.1 million. 

Stitch Fix active clients rose +12% year-over-year to 3.9 million. Net revenue per active client fell -7% to $467.00.

Stitch Fix also said it would delay the rollout of its direct buy platform until later in the year. This decision that will impact current quarter and full year sales.

For the fiscal third quarter, Stitch Fix is expecting net sales of $505 million to $515 million (growth of 36% to 39%), and an adjusted loss before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $5 million to $9 million. According to executives, it’s been a “mixed bag” on shipping and processing delays so far in February, and they expect this to continue through the rest of the fiscal third quarter.

Looking further ahead, the company now expects revenue to grow 18% to 20% for the full fiscal year 2021, down from its prior outlook of 20% to 25%. Analysts were expecting revenue growth of 22.6% for the fiscal year.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: SFIX

SFIX sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On September 30, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for SFIX moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 63 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 54 of the 63 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SFIX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 27 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFIX just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SFIX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Following a +3.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in 216 of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

SFIX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFIX as a result. In 91 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator for SFIX entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.683) is normal, around the industry mean (3.366). P/E Ratio (101.960) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.300) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.292) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 189.04B. IDEXF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. LVLU experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while DXLG experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -38% and the average quarterly volume growth was 11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 35 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 415 882-7765
Employees
4165
Web
https://www.stitchfix.com
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