Success Story: Robot Factory's SPCE Trade Earns 4.50%
One such AI trading robot is Swing Trader: Top High-Volatility Stocks (TA), which generated a return of 4.50% for SPCE (Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc.) in Tickeron's robot factory over a week.
SPCE's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 11, 2023. The Aroon Indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses the up and down indicators to determine the strength of a trend and the likelihood of a reversal. When the up indicator (AroonUp) moves above 70 and the down indicator (AroonDown) remains below 30, it indicates that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy call options.
To confirm the bullish signal, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 150 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 138 of the 150 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed, putting the odds of a move higher at 90%.
However, it's important to consider the fundamental factors that can affect the stock's performance as well. The last earnings report on May 09 showed earnings per share of -56 cents, missing the estimate of -51 cents. With 10.61 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.17 billion dollars.
The negative earnings per share indicates that the company is not profitable at the moment. However, it's worth noting that Virgin Galactic is a development-stage company that is yet to generate meaningful revenue. The company is still in its early stages of operation and is investing heavily in research and development. Therefore, earnings per share may not be the best metric to evaluate the company's performance at this point.
SPCE in -23.36% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on May 26, 2023
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SPCE declined for three days, in of 230 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPCE moved out of overbought territory on May 24, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 25, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPCE as a result. In of 55 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPCE turned negative on May 26, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 32 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SPCE moved below its 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for SPCE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 17, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPCE advanced for three days, in of 209 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPCE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 150 cases where SPCE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SPCE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.604) is normal, around the industry mean (25.112). P/E Ratio (50.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (311.012). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.856). SPCE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (384.615) is also within normal values, averaging (173.520).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPCE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
