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published in Blogs
Jul 07, 2020

Sunrun (RUN, $27.40) to buy Vivint Solar at $3.2 billion enterprise value

Solar electricity provider Sunrun  is buying peer Vivint Solar  for about $1.46 billion in stock.

As part of the deal, Vivint Solar shareholders will receive 0.55 a share of Sunrun for each share held, a price that represents a more than 10% premium to Vivint Solar's closing price Monday of $10.63.

Sunrun shareholders will own about 64% of the combined company, while Vivint Solar shareholders will own 36%.

The total enterprise value of the deal is about $3.2 billion.

The companies said their combined customer base of nearly 500,000 "creates a leading owner of solar assets globally, with over 3 gigawatts of solar assets on the balance sheet."

Tickeron's AI-powered scorecard rates RUN a STRONG BUY.

RUN's Aroon indicator reaches into Uptrend on June 30, 2020

For traders, this could mean going long on the ticker or exploring call options in the next month. In 232 of 279 cases where RUN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.

Current price $27.40 is above $20.80 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/03/20 - 07/06/20, the price experienced a +15% Uptrend. During the week of 06/26/20 - 07/06/20, the stock enjoyed a +15% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 01, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 75 of 92 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

The 50-day Moving Average crossing above its 200-day Moving Average indicates a buy signal, due to the trend repositioning higher. In 4 of 5 cases where RUN's 50-day Moving Average crossed above its 200-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RUN advanced for three days, in 276 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 27 of 35 cases where RUN's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 77%.

The Stochastic Indicator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 26 of 38 cases where RUN's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 68%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 46 of 57 cases where RUN's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 81%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 82%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 3.14 to 1.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RUN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.94) is normal, around the industry mean (1.81). RUN's P/E Ratio (247.28) is considerably higher than the industry average of (27.02). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.64) is also within normal values, averaging (4.46). RUN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.00) as compared to the industry average of (3.04). P/S Ratio (1.38) is also within normal values, averaging (1.98).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RUN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: RUN

RUN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on February 20, 2024

RUN moved below its 50-day moving average on February 20, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 40 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RUN as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RUN turned negative on February 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for RUN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RUN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RUN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for RUN moved above the 200-day moving average on February 07, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RUN advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RUN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 280 cases where RUN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.505) is normal, around the industry mean (5.597). P/E Ratio (22.573) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.077). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.092) is also within normal values, averaging (2.697). RUN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (1.152) is also within normal values, averaging (34.239).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RUN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RUN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH), First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR), SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG), Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG), Bloom Energy Corp (NYSE:BE), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ), SunPower Corp (NASDAQ:SPWR), FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL), GrafTech International Ltd (NYSE:EAF).

Industry description

The industry produces a diverse range of electricity-powered equipment, appliances and components, catering to both households and industries. The products include power, distribution and specialty transformers; electric motors, generators and motor-generator sets; switchgear and switchboard apparatus; light bulbs, tubes, fittings and electric signs etc. Consumer income, construction spending, and industrial production are major drivers of demand for this industry’s products. Large companies tend to have economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution, while smaller companies can potentially carve out their own market through niche or specialty offerings. The US electrical products manufacturing industry includes about 5,700 establishments (single-location companies and units of multi-location companies) with combined annual revenue of about $125 billion. (according to a study published in First Research). Emerson Electric Co., Hubbell Incorporated and Eaton Corporation plc are major electrical products makers in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electrical Products Industry is 3.92B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 750 to 181.26B. NISSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 181.26B. The lowest valued company is EDYYF at 750.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electrical Products Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20%. CSSXF experienced the highest price growth at 95%, while ASTI experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electrical Products Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 59% and the average quarterly volume growth was 46%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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RUNDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engaged in the design, development, installation sale, ownership and maintenance of residential solar energy systems

Industry ElectricalProducts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electrical Products
Address
225 Bush Street
Phone
+1 415 580-6900
Employees
10833
Web
https://www.sunrun.com
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RUN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RUN has been closely correlated with NOVA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RUN jumps, then NOVA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RUN
1D Price
Change %
RUN100%
+1.86%
NOVA - RUN
89%
Closely correlated
+11.49%
SPWR - RUN
73%
Closely correlated
-1.89%
FCEL - RUN
67%
Closely correlated
-1.64%
ENPH - RUN
65%
Loosely correlated
+6.62%
SEDG - RUN
63%
Loosely correlated
+2.59%
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