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Sep 11, 2021
Sunrun (RUN, $44.70) initiated with a buy rating at Needham

Sunrun (RUN, $44.70) initiated with a buy rating at Needham

On Friday, Sunrun  shares rose, after analysts at Needham initiated coverage of the solar energy company with a buy rating and a $75 price target.

Needham analyst Vikram Bagri cited Sunrun’s position as "the leader in the crowded US residential solar industry with about 15% share, almost 2x that of its closest competitor."

"We think the industry, which has expanded rapidly since 2016, can keep growing at a fast pace due to EV adoption, a focus on energy resilience, rising utility rates, and heightened environmental awareness," Bagri noted.

According to Bagri, Sunrun will benefit from the industry trends/outlook due to its  experienced management team, strong customer relationships, established channel partners, and quality of service." The analyst also said that Sunrun's scale allows it to recycle capital efficiently.

Bagri mentioned that with Sunrun shares down over 50% from its highs, the shares are trading at a “compelling entry point."

Related Ticker: RUN

RUN in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 28, 2026

RUN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 40 cases where RUN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RUN advanced for three days, in 218 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RUN as a result. In 89 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RUN turned negative on September 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RUN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Aroon Indicator for RUN entered a downward trend on September 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RUN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.529) is normal, around the industry mean (4.934). P/E Ratio (5.218) is within average values for comparable stocks, (104.750). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.071) is also within normal values, averaging (1.473). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.646) is also within normal values, averaging (5.257).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RUN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 99, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR), Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH), SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ).

Industry description

The alternative power generation industry consists of companies that operate power facilities converting non-conventional forms of energy into electricity. These energy forms are alternatives to fossil fuels, and many of them are derived from natural resources. Alternative energy forms include solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal steam. A major purpose behind using alternative energy – also called ‘clean’ energy - is to address concerns related to the more conventional fossil fuels, such as the latter’s high carbon dioxide emissions which is often considered a factor in global warming. Alternative power generation has been gaining traction in recent years, and could grow further in the future. Large organizations like Google have invested substantially in wind and solar energy-powered electricity. Some of the prominent U.S. companies operating in the alternative power generation industry includes Ormat Technologies, Inc., TerraForm Power, Inc. and NextEra Energy Partners LP.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Alternative Power Generation Industry is 1.91B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.39K to 270.64B. CDVM holds the highest valuation in this group at 270.64B. The lowest valued company is MAXNQ at 3.39K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Alternative Power Generation Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -33%. SHLS experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while FTCI experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Alternative Power Generation Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -48%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 67
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 73
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 98
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company which engaged in the design, development, installation sale, ownership and maintenance of residential solar energy systems

Industry AlternativePowerGeneration

Industry
Electrical Products
Address
600 California Street
Phone
+1 415 580-6900
Employees
9059
Web
https://www.sunrun.com
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