Swing Trader Alert: PHX Aroon Uptrend Promises 14% Gains
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA) 14% for PHX
Swing trading is an investment strategy that requires precision, acumen, and a certain degree of analytical prowess. As a swing trader who's long-only, your main focus is on stocks that will generate profitable returns over a short or medium-term period. To this end, the Valuation and Efficiency Model (TA&FA) has showcased a promising 14% for PHX.
PHX, a company that has consistently proven its value in the market, has shown signs of entering an uptrend according to the Aroon Indicator. This powerful tool in technical analysis helps determine whether a stock is in a trend and the strength of that trend. Importantly, it has signaled the commencement of an uptrend for PHX.
What makes this particularly noteworthy is the historical performance data of PHX in the context of Aroon's Indicator. Out of 176 instances where the Aroon Indicator flagged an uptrend for PHX, in 139 cases, the price of PHX indeed rose further in the subsequent month. That accounts for a striking success rate of approximately 79%. This strong consistency and high probability provide robust optimism for continued bullish trends in PHX's performance.
The combination of TA&FA within the Swing Trader model is designed to ensure a comprehensive approach to investment decisions. It incorporates both Technical Analysis (TA) - which primarily focuses on price and volume trends using various charts and indicators like the Aroon Indicator - and Fundamental Analysis (FA) - which examines the intrinsic value of the company by analyzing various business fundamentals.
In the case of PHX, both TA and FA metrics have been synchronized and aligned. The Aroon Indicator’s confirmation of an uptrend bolsters the technical analysis' favorability, while the solid 14% projected by the Valuation and Efficiency Model substantiates the fundamental analysis' positive perspective.
In essence, as a swing trader focusing on long-only investments, this union of positive signals makes PHX an attractive prospect. The strong correlation between the Aroon Indicator’s uptrend signal and the subsequent price rise, combined with the promising 14% valuation, sets the stage for a potentially profitable trading scenario in the upcoming month. While every investment strategy involves careful consideration, the data on PHX suggests that there is substantial room for growth, making it a consideration for any informed swing trader.
PHX in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on September 07, 2023
PHX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 07, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 34 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PHX moved out of overbought territory on September 11, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PHX as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PHX turned negative on September 20, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where PHX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHX advanced for three days, in of 245 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 192 cases where PHX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PHX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.125) is normal, around the industry mean (6.317). P/E Ratio (6.188) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.624). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.552). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.124) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.358) is also within normal values, averaging (120.484).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PHX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
acquisition, management and development of oil and natural gas properties, including wells
Industry OilGasProduction
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PHX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHX has been closely correlated with NOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHX jumps, then NOG could also see price increases.