Swing Trader: ARES Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) for 24.53% Gains
Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates for ARES 24.53%
Swing trading is a popular trading strategy that aims to capture short-term price movements within the stock market. One specific approach used by swing traders is sector rotation, where they analyze various sectors and allocate their investments to sectors that are expected to outperform others. In this article, we will discuss the potential of the sector rotation strategy using technical and fundamental analysis for ARES, a specific stock, which has shown promising results.
Positive Momentum:
After experiencing a notable 2.82% increase over the course of three days, ARES is poised for further growth. By examining historical data, it has been observed that in 277 out of 363 similar instances where ARES recorded a three-day advance, the price continued to rise in the subsequent month. This data suggests that there is a 76% probability of an ongoing upward trend for ARES.
Technical and Fundamental Analysis:
To assess the potential of the sector rotation strategy for ARES, swing traders employ both technical and fundamental analysis. Technical analysis involves studying price patterns, trends, and market indicators to forecast future price movements. Meanwhile, fundamental analysis delves into a company's financial health, management quality, and industry outlook.
By combining these two analytical approaches, swing traders can gain a comprehensive understanding of ARES and make informed investment decisions. Technical analysis helps identify short-term price patterns and determine optimal entry and exit points, while fundamental analysis provides a broader perspective on the company's growth prospects and competitive position within its sector.
Implications for Swing Traders:
The favorable statistics regarding ARES's price behavior after a three-day advance indicate a potential opportunity for swing traders. Based on the historical data, swing traders employing the sector rotation strategy may consider allocating their capital to ARES, anticipating further upward movement.
However, it is important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and the market is subject to various factors that can influence price movements.
The sector rotation strategy, utilizing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis, presents a compelling case for swing traders interested in ARES. With a notable 2.82% increase over three days and a historical probability of 76% for continued upward movement, ARES shows promise as a potential candidate for swing trading.
It is essential for swing traders to conduct their due diligence and carefully evaluate the market conditions before executing any trades. By staying informed, following their trading plan, and adapting to changing market dynamics, swing traders can maximize their chances of success while employing the sector rotation strategy for ARES or any other stock they choose to trade.
ARES's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARES turned positive on August 29, 2023. Looking at past instances where ARES's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 29, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARES as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARES advanced for three days, in of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 432 cases where ARES Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
ARES broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 08, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.223) is normal, around the industry mean (3.502). P/E Ratio (64.103) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.346). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.179). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.371) is also within normal values, averaging (77.915).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARES’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | +1.55% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 81% Closely correlated | +0.32% | ||
| APO - ARES | 76% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| CG - ARES | 74% Closely correlated | -1.54% | ||
| HLNE - ARES | 73% Closely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| BX - ARES | 73% Closely correlated | -0.78% | ||
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