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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 10, 2023

Swing Trader: Boost Returns by 40.42% with NOG's Sector Rotation Strategy

Stellar Performance: NOG's Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Delivers 40.42%

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) has displayed a remarkable upward trend, delivering a yield of 40.42% thanks to the strategic application of a Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy using both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA). This integrated approach continues to drive robust returns for the energy sector company, affirming the effectiveness of this trading strategy.

NOG's strategy hinges upon the idea of shifting investments to outperforming sectors in a cyclical market, thus maximizing returns and capitalizing on market trends. This blend of TA and FA delivers a comprehensive understanding of the market's ebbs and flows, combining the strengths of both methodologies.

In a recent highlight, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NOG turned positive on June 27, 2023. The MACD, a trend-following momentum indicator, reveals changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a stock's price trend. In NOG's case, the MACD histogram crossed above the signal line, often interpreted as a buy signal by investors.

Historically, such a cross in the positive territory for NOG has signaled bullishness. Evidence from past instances where NOG's MACD turned positive shows the stock continued to rise in 43 of 47 cases over the following month. This equates to an impressive success rate of 90% for a continued upward trend post a positive MACD crossover. Such a pattern provides a robust and statistically compelling basis for optimism about NOG's near-term performance.

The performance of NOG has been remarkable in its use of the Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy. The interplay of TA and FA has given NOG an edge in the market, ensuring strong returns. The recent positive MACD crossover offers further reinforcement for an optimistic outlook for NOG's performance in the coming period. As the energy sector continues to evolve, NOG's strategic approach to sector rotation and the tactical use of trading indicators will remain a cornerstone of its success.

Related Ticker: NOG

NOG in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 10, 2025

The 10-day moving average for NOG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 10, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NOG as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NOG turned negative on October 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NOG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NOG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NOG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NOG advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NOG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 304 cases where NOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.873) is normal, around the industry mean (11.299). P/E Ratio (3.563) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.989). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.531) is also within normal values, averaging (4.123). Dividend Yield (0.082) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.973) is also within normal values, averaging (129.628).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NOG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR), Range Resources Corp (NYSE:RRC).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.46B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 108.01B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 108.01B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. HLEGF experienced the highest price growth at 100%, while CTARF experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -35%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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NOG
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. NOG showed earnings on July 31, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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published General Information

General Information

a company which drills exploratory and developmental wells, primarily in the northern regions of the US and southern Canada.

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
4350 Baker Road
Phone
+1 952 476-9800
Employees
38
Web
https://www.northernoil.com
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