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Jul 01, 2023

Swing Trader: Diversified Portfolio Generates 6.17% for MUR

Swing Trader Generates 6.17% Return in Diversified Consumer, Energy, and Financial Sectors

Swing trading is a popular investment strategy that aims to capture short-term price movements in the market. In this article, we will analyze the performance of a swing trader focusing on the consumer, energy, and financial sectors. The trader has generated a commendable return of 6.17% for MUR (stock ticker) through their diversified approach.

Upward Trend:
MUR Price Rises Above 50-day Moving Average On June 02, 2023, the price of MUR experienced a significant development by surpassing its 50-day moving average. This event indicates a shift from a downward trend to an upward trend. Historical analysis reveals that in 38 out of 43 similar instances in the past, the stock price continued to increase further within the subsequent month. This statistic suggests that there is an 88% likelihood of the ongoing upward trend persisting.

Implications for the Swing Trader:
The swing trader who focused on the consumer, energy, and financial sectors has been successful in capitalizing on the upward trend of MUR. By employing a diversified strategy, the trader has effectively mitigated risks associated with a single sector. This approach allows them to take advantage of opportunities across various industries, potentially enhancing their overall returns.

Diversified Sector Approach:
The swing trader's decision to diversify their investments across the consumer, energy, and financial sectors has proven fruitful. Each sector offers unique opportunities and provides exposure to different market dynamics. By not being reliant on a single sector, the trader has minimized the impact of any adverse events specific to one industry. This diversification strategy adds an element of stability to their portfolio while potentially maximizing returns.

The swing trader focusing on the consumer, energy, and financial sectors has achieved an impressive return of 6.17% for MUR. The recent upward trend, indicated by the stock price rising above its 50-day moving average, presents a favorable outlook for further gains. Leveraging historical data, we observe a strong probability of the upward trend continuing. The trader's diversified approach has enabled them to navigate various sectors, potentially enhancing their overall performance.

Related Ticker: MUR

MUR in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 26, 2024

MUR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 37 cases where MUR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MUR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MUR advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MUR as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MUR turned negative on October 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MUR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MUR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MUR entered a downward trend on October 07, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.321) is normal, around the industry mean (5.146). P/E Ratio (10.976) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.593). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.328) is also within normal values, averaging (5.525). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.109) is also within normal values, averaging (152.932).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MUR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (null:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (null:CNQ), EOG Resources (null:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (null:OXY), Hess Corp (null:HES), Diamondback Energy (null:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (null:DVN), EQT Corp (null:EQT), Marathon Oil Corp (null:MRO), APA Corp (null:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.92B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. ALOD experienced the highest price growth at 119%, while RHCCF experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 67% and the average quarterly volume growth was 33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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MUR
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in oil and gas exploration and production

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
9805 Katy Freeway
Phone
+1 281 675-9000
Employees
725
Web
https://www.murphyoilcorp.com
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