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Jul 13, 2023

Swing Trader's 24.98% Gain on LBRT: Winning Sector Rotation Strategy

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 24.98% for LBRT

The technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) within a sector rotation strategy, popular amongst swing traders, is currently demonstrating impressive results, generating a remarkable 24.98% for Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. (LBRT). This performance has caught the attention of investors and traders alike, prompting a closer analysis of the trending factors driving this yield.

A key indication of this positive trend is the momentum indicator for LBRT, which turned positive on July 05, 2023. A momentum indicator is a tool used by traders to gauge the speed at which the price of an asset, in this case, LBRT, is moving. The crossing of the zero line into the positive terrain is usually considered a bullish signal, which could imply a potential shift into a new upward trajectory for LBRT.

Upon examining 81 similar instances in the past where the momentum indicator crossed into the positive territory, it was observed that LBRT’s stock price moved higher in 68 cases. The statistical probability derived from these past trends is quite telling; there is an approximately 84% chance of the stock price continuing its climb.

This statistical pattern strongly suggests an upward move for LBRT in the following days. As such, traders and investors may want to consider capitalizing on this bullish momentum. This could be through the direct acquisition of the stock or indirectly via call options that would benefit from a rise in LBRT’s stock price.

Of course, as with any investment strategy, the market conditions and the company's fundamentals should be continually monitored. However, given the historical trend and the recently turned positive momentum indicator, the current scenario portrays an attractive opportunity for investors and swing traders to benefit from LBRT's potential upward trend.

The sector rotation strategy incorporating technical and fundamental analysis has proven fruitful for LBRT. Investors and traders alike should keep an eye on these signals as they navigate their strategic plays in the stock market. It's a testament to how blending different trading strategies can be a powerful tool in the quest for investment gains.

Related Ticker: LBRT

LBRT saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for LBRT moved out of overbought territory on September 20, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 61 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 61 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LBRT moved out of overbought territory on September 19, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LBRT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LBRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 01, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LBRT as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LBRT just turned positive on September 05, 2023. Looking at past instances where LBRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LBRT advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 263 cases where LBRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LBRT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.829) is normal, around the industry mean (3.818). P/E Ratio (5.365) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.821). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.120). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.677) is also within normal values, averaging (2.380).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LBRT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Schlumberger Limited (NYSE:SLB), Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL), Valaris Limited (NYSE:VAL).

Industry description

The oilfield services/equipment industry is involved in providing various equipment and services to oil and natural gas producers. These companies rent drilling rigs and/or provide services to build and maintain oil and gas wells. The performance of this industry is dependent on demand for oil and natural gas, which in turn is often driven by macroeconomic conditions or business cycles. Schlumberger NV, Halliburton Company, and Baker Hughes are some of the biggest oilfield services companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry is 3.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 717 to 84.97B. SLB holds the highest valuation in this group at 84.97B. The lowest valued company is FLSS at 717.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 27%. PKDC experienced the highest price growth at 44%, while FTK experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 61% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a oilfield service company which provides specialized stimulation services to optimize well production

Industry OilfieldServicesEquipment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oilfield Services Or Equipment
Address
950 17th Street
Phone
+1 303 515-2800
Employees
4580
Web
https://www.libertyenergy.com
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LBRT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LBRT has been closely correlated with NEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LBRT jumps, then NEX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To LBRT
1D Price
Change %
LBRT100%
-0.61%
NEX - LBRT
86%
Closely correlated
N/A
HAL - LBRT
84%
Closely correlated
-0.34%
PUMP - LBRT
84%
Closely correlated
-0.29%
RES - LBRT
80%
Closely correlated
-1.47%
WHD - LBRT
76%
Closely correlated
-2.63%
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