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Jun 28, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy for 11.83% Returns on BWA

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 11.83% for BWA

The power of strategic investment cannot be understated, and this is exemplified by the latest reports from BWA, which show a significant return of 11.83%, generated by a sector rotation strategy incorporating both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA).

The strength of BWA's performance demonstrates the potential benefits of a carefully executed Swing Trading strategy. With an impressive +1.67% 3-day advance, the prognosis for continued growth remains positive. Data from similar situations indicate that in 207 out of 315 cases, the BWA stock price has seen a further increase within the following month. Statistically speaking, this puts the odds of continued upward momentum at 66%, highlighting a promising trend for investors.

The success of BWA's recent performance is deeply rooted in the Sector Rotation Strategy. This approach is based on the concept of 'sector rotation', which suggests that different areas of the economy perform better at different stages of the business cycle. By focusing on sectors expected to outperform and shifting investments as market conditions change, traders can potentially generate significant returns.

A key component of this strategy is the use of both Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis. The former allows traders to predict future price movements based on historical data and statistical trends, while the latter assesses the intrinsic value of the stock based on economic and financial factors. The combined use of TA and FA ensures a robust, comprehensive approach that balances the volatility of the markets with the financial realities of the stocks being traded.

In the case of BWA, this strategy has resulted in an impressive return. The +1.67% 3-day advance, bolstered by the high likelihood of continued growth, reinforces the effectiveness of the sector rotation strategy. Moreover, it serves as a testament to the potential benefits of a balanced, tactical approach to trading that takes into account both the technical and fundamental aspects of the market.

The investment landscape is ever-changing, requiring nimble strategies and adaptable approaches to consistently generate robust returns. BWA’s impressive performance is a shining example of how the blend of sector rotation strategy with rigorous technical and fundamental analysis can provide substantial results, paving the way for potential future success.

Related Ticker: BWA

BWA in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024

The 10-day moving average for BWA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BWA as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BWA turned negative on January 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for BWA moved below the 200-day moving average on January 02, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BWA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BWA entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BWA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where BWA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BWA advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BWA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.389) is normal, around the industry mean (12.278). P/E Ratio (12.978) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.155). BWA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.703) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.991). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.579) is also within normal values, averaging (27.643).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BWA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BWA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 5.57B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 206 to 52.56B. DNZOY holds the highest valuation in this group at 52.56B. The lowest valued company is JBZY at 206.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. CDTI experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while SES experienced the biggest fall at -53%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -41%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 90% and the average quarterly volume growth was 81%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of engineered components for automotive powertrain applications

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Auto Parts OEM
Address
3850 Hamlin Road
Phone
+1 248 754-9200
Employees
39900
Web
https://www.borgwarner.com
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