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published in Blogs
Jul 27, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) for 21.93% Returns on $AMD

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 21.93% for AMD

In the world of finance, traders and investors are always on the lookout for strategies that can help them capitalize on market movements and generate profitable returns. One such strategy, known as the Sector Rotation Strategy, combines both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA) to identify potential opportunities in the market. Recently, this strategy proved to be highly successful for swing traders, yielding a remarkable 21.93% return for AMD, a leading semiconductor company.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The success of this swing trading strategy can be attributed to its comprehensive analysis of AMD's price movements using various technical indicators. Among the notable indicators employed in this analysis were the Stochastic Oscillator and the Aroon Indicator.

The Stochastic Oscillator, which measures the momentum of price movements, indicated that AMD's stock had been in the oversold zone for a single day. This indicated a potential price bounce in the near future, suggesting that the stock was undervalued and could be expected to rise in value.

Furthermore, the analysis considered a significant 3-day advance in AMD's price, amounting to +2.07%. Historical data from similar situations in the past revealed that in 262 out of 317 cases, the price continued to rise further within the following month after a 3-day advance. This historical precedent suggested an 83% likelihood of a continued upward trend for AMD's stock.

Additionally, the Aroon Indicator, which identifies the start of a new trend, signaled an Uptrend for AMD. Historical data revealed that in 201 out of 246 cases where AMD's Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price continued to rise further within the following month. This translated to an impressive 82% probability of a continued Uptrend for AMD's stock.

The Sector Rotation Strategy, incorporating both Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis, proved to be a winning formula for swing traders seeking to capitalize on AMD's stock price movements. With the Stochastic Oscillator indicating an oversold position and the Aroon Indicator signaling an Uptrend, the strategy suggested a high probability of further price growth for AMD. As evidenced by the substantial 21.93% return generated, swing traders who employed this approach were able to make the most of the market dynamics, highlighting the potential effectiveness of combining TA and FA in the pursuit of successful trades.

Related Ticker: AMD

AMD's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMD turned positive on March 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where AMD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMD advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMD moved out of overbought territory on March 26, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 31, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMD as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMD moved below its 50-day moving average on March 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AMD entered a downward trend on March 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.900) is normal, around the industry mean (9.805). P/E Ratio (102.780) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.801). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.408) is also within normal values, averaging (2.392). AMD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (6.523) is also within normal values, averaging (33.029).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 45.53B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.69T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.69T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. ALMU experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while WOLF experienced the biggest fall at -52%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was 63%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 71
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuits for semiconductors

Industry Semiconductors

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Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2485 Augustine Drive
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+1 408 749-4000
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26000
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https://www.amd.com
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