Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) for FANG - 28.13% Returns
Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates for FANG 28.13%
Sector rotation is a popular investment strategy that involves shifting investments between different sectors of the economy based on their performance and outlook. One particular sector that has attracted significant attention in recent years is the FANG group, comprising Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google (now Alphabet). These tech giants have been known for their rapid growth and dominance in their respective industries.
Using a combination of technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), swing traders have been able to generate impressive returns by capitalizing on the sector rotation strategy applied to the FANG stocks. In fact, recent data suggests that this strategy has yielded a remarkable 28.13% return for investors.
Following a notable 2.96% three-day advance in the FANG stocks, market analysts estimate that the price is likely to continue its upward trajectory. By examining historical data from similar situations where FANG stocks experienced a three-day advance, it has been observed that in 244 out of 328 cases, the price continued to rise further within the following month. This statistical analysis suggests that the odds of a continued upward trend are approximately 74%.
The significance of this analysis lies in the fact that it provides swing traders with valuable insights into the potential future performance of the FANG stocks. By understanding the historical patterns and probabilities associated with these stocks, traders can make more informed decisions and position themselves to take advantage of favorable market conditions.
However, it is important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and the stock market is inherently unpredictable. While historical data can provide useful information, it should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Swing traders and investors should consider other factors such as market trends, company news, and overall economic conditions before making any trading decisions.
The sector rotation strategy, combining technical and fundamental analysis, has proven to be successful for swing traders in the FANG stocks. With a 28.13% return generated and a 74% probability of continued upward movement, this strategy has caught the attention of many investors seeking to capitalize on the growth potential of these technology giants. However, prudent investors should always exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and diversify their portfolios to mitigate risks associated with individual stocks and sector-specific fluctuations.
FANG's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FANG moved out of overbought territory on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 35 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where FANG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FANG turned negative on September 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FANG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FANG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 06, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 28, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FANG as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for FANG moved above the 200-day moving average on August 17, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FANG advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 273 cases where FANG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FANG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.786) is normal, around the industry mean (6.327). P/E Ratio (8.058) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.573). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.684) is also within normal values, averaging (2.544). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.124) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.375) is also within normal values, averaging (120.026).
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FANG has been closely correlated with MRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FANG jumps, then MRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FANG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FANG | 100% | -1.61% | ||
| MRO - FANG | 90% Closely correlated | -2.28% | ||
| HES - FANG | 88% Closely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| EOG - FANG | 88% Closely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| COP - FANG | 86% Closely correlated | -1.61% | ||
| MUR - FANG | 86% Closely correlated | -2.01% | ||
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