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published in Blogs
Jun 30, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 49.2% for AMD

Maximizing Returns with Swing Trading: Analyzing AMD's Sector Rotation Strategy

Swing trading, a popular trading technique that combines technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), has gained attention among investors seeking short-term profits. One such example is the sector rotation strategy applied to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which has generated an impressive return of 49.2%. In this article, we delve into the recent performance of AMD, analyze its upward trend, and discuss potential opportunities for traders considering this stock.

Analyzing AMD's Upward Trend:

On June 21, 2023, AMD broke its lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential upward trend. The lower Bollinger Band serves as a support level, suggesting that the stock may have reached a price level that is undervalued compared to historical data. This breakthrough presents an opportunity for swing traders to take advantage of the upward movement.

Historical Evidence:

When observing previous instances where AMD's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, we find that the stock's price typically continued to rise in the following month. Out of 36 cases analyzed, AMD's price increased further in 32 instances, resulting in a success rate of approximately 89%. This historical data provides a compelling argument for traders considering a bullish stance on AMD.

Potential Strategies for Traders:

Given the recent breakout of AMD's price above the lower Bollinger Band and the positive historical performance in similar situations, traders may want to explore two potential strategies: buying the stock or exploring call options.

  1. Buying the stock: Swing traders could consider purchasing AMD shares at the current price level, anticipating a continued upward trend. This approach would allow traders to participate in potential gains as the stock heads towards the middle Bollinger Band, which acts as a resistance level.

  2. Exploring call options: Another strategy to consider is exploring call options on AMD. Call options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying stock at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specific timeframe. By purchasing call options, traders can amplify their potential returns if AMD's price continues to rise while limiting their downside risk to the premium paid for the options.

Swing trading, particularly the sector rotation strategy applied to AMD, has demonstrated significant potential for generating attractive returns. The recent breakout above the lower Bollinger Band suggests an upward trend, supported by historical evidence indicating a high probability of further price appreciation. Traders looking to capitalize on this opportunity may consider buying AMD shares or exploring call options. However, it is essential to conduct thorough research, analyze market conditions, and consider personal risk tolerance before implementing any trading strategy.

Related Ticker: AMD

AMD's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for AMD moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where AMD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMD just turned positive on April 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where AMD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMD advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AMD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMD as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMD moved below its 50-day moving average on March 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AMD entered a downward trend on March 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.728) is normal, around the industry mean (9.394). P/E Ratio (96.645) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.359). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.442) is also within normal values, averaging (2.396). AMD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (6.135) is also within normal values, averaging (57.329).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), KLA Corp (NASDAQ:KLAC).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 44.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.6T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.6T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. PRKR experienced the highest price growth at 35%, while ASMVF experienced the biggest fall at -35%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 60% and the average quarterly volume growth was 45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 73
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuits for semiconductors

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2485 Augustine Drive
Phone
+1 408 749-4000
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26000
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https://www.amd.com
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