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Jul 24, 2023

Swing Trading: $MDC's 33.12% Gain via Sector Rotation Strategy

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 33.12% for MDC

The realm of trading and investments has witnessed a compelling strategy, the Sector Rotation Strategy, derived from both Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA). It has recently demonstrated its efficacy, particularly in the case of MDC, with a noteworthy generation of 33.12%.

The Sector Rotation Strategy has demonstrated its capability to take advantage of different economic cycles, shuffling investments amongst sectors that are expected to outperform during various phases of the market cycle. By rotating from sector to sector, traders can optimize the performance of their portfolio, ensuring profitability in diverse market conditions.

A significant role in this trading strategy is played by technical indicators, specifically the Aroon Indicator. The Aroon Indicator has proven to be a reliable tool for identifying trend changes in a timely manner, providing crucial insights into the market's potential movements. Today, the Aroon Indicator entered an uptrend for MDC. Historically, in 202 out of 250 cases where the Aroon Indicator for MDC entered an uptrend, the price of MDC increased further within the following month, demonstrating the efficacy of the Sector Rotation Strategy.

This indicates a considerable 81% chance of a continued uptrend. This probability suggests a strong potential for increased profitability for MDC in the upcoming period, providing a solid platform for traders to leverage this trending opportunity.

The Sector Rotation Strategy, coupled with the Aroon Indicator, creates a robust framework that traders can employ to enhance their portfolio performance. The recent success with MDC, generating 33.12%, has put the spotlight on the potential of this strategy. The incorporation of such analytical tools can lead to a more informed, strategic trading approach, effectively capitalizing on market trends to secure improved financial outcomes.

As the dynamics of financial markets continue to evolve, such strategic, data-driven approaches become increasingly essential. The promising results demonstrated by MDC using the Sector Rotation Strategy underscore the immense potential that technical and fundamental analysis holds for the future of trading and investment strategies.

Related Ticker: MDC

MDC in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023

The 10-day moving average for MDC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MDC as a result. In of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MDC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MDC entered a downward trend on September 22, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MDC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 14 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDC advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.968) is normal, around the industry mean (5.755). P/E Ratio (7.758) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.036). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.540). Dividend Yield (0.049) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.599) is also within normal values, averaging (71.799).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MDC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 5.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 36.85B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.85B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. NOBH experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while STHI experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of homebuilding and financial services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
4350 South Monaco Street
Phone
+1 303 773-1100
Employees
1643
Web
http://www.mdcholdings.com
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MDC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDC has been closely correlated with KBH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MDC jumps, then KBH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MDC
1D Price
Change %
MDC100%
-1.43%
KBH - MDC
90%
Closely correlated
-0.94%
MHO - MDC
88%
Closely correlated
-1.90%
MTH - MDC
86%
Closely correlated
-1.18%
TMHC - MDC
85%
Closely correlated
-1.43%
PHM - MDC
84%
Closely correlated
-0.96%
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