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Jul 21, 2023

Swing Trading $XPEV: Trend Analysis Yields 21.27% Profit

Swing Trader's Guide: Deep Trend Analysis Unveils Potential 21.27% Upside for XPEV

The dynamic trend analysis shows a very promising outlook for the swing trader focusing on XPEV. Over the last three consecutive days as of July 20, 2023, XPEV has been in a +4.96% uptrend, a bullish signal that suggests potential further growth.

In the technical world, a three-day upward trajectory is seen as a strong bullish sign and is likely to attract the attention of astute swing traders. When analyzing similar cases where XPEV had a three-day uptrend, we discovered that in 128 out of 155 cases, the stock price continued its upward trajectory over the following month. This represents an impressive 83% probability of continued bullish movement. Based on these historic occurrences, it would not be surprising if XPEV maintains this momentum.

This is where the deep trend analysis method comes into play. It is a powerful tool for swing traders looking to time their entry and exit points. By incorporating these trend analysis principles, swing traders can better anticipate possible changes in the stock's trajectory and adjust their strategies accordingly. In this case, deep trend analysis suggests a potential 21.27% upside for XPEV.

If history is any guide, this stock could be on its way to new heights. The historical data shows the potential for growth and the swing trader, with the help of deep trend analysis, can take full advantage of these opportunities.

The deep trend analysis method provides valuable insights into price dynamics and allows traders to make informed decisions about their trading strategies. It aids in understanding the potential price direction, and for swing traders, this is a crucial element in the trading strategy. Considering the data, an 83% chance of a further rise represents a significant opportunity for swing traders.

Based on the deep trend analysis, XPEV appears to be in a strong position with a bullish uptrend. With an 83% chance of continuing its upward movement and a potential upside of 21.27%, swing traders could consider this a prime opportunity to ride the wave of this stock's potential growth.

Related Ticker: XPEV

XPEV sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

XPEV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 13, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 30 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPEV as a result. In of 48 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XPEV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on August 29, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in of 167 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.160) is normal, around the industry mean (6.824). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.822). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.686). XPEV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (4.871) is also within normal values, averaging (52.364).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 34.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 833.46B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 833.46B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 124%. GKIT experienced the highest price growth at 49%, while VLCN experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -26 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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a designer, developer, and manufacturer smart electric vehicles

Industry MotorVehicles

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XPEV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPEV has been closely correlated with NIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPEV jumps, then NIO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XPEV
1D Price
Change %
XPEV100%
-6.52%
NIO - XPEV
80%
Closely correlated
+3.16%
LI - XPEV
74%
Closely correlated
+0.52%
NIU - XPEV
58%
Loosely correlated
-3.47%
RIVN - XPEV
44%
Loosely correlated
-1.50%
PSNY - XPEV
40%
Loosely correlated
-2.39%
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